Talk:(1)Super Mario Bros. 3 vs (4)Final Fantasy 2004

I really hope that was sarcasm; it's so hard to tell over the Internet. Mario 3's prediction percentage in this match was over 50%, which by default makes it favored over the other 7 members of this half-division combined to make the Division Finals. The correct conclusion is that Final Fantasy had a higher prediction percentage in Round 1 because Metal Gear was perceived as being stronger than Pitfall Harry (quite likely, as Harry's done nothing since the 8-bit era and Metal Gear was the debut game for a Noble Niner), and that this trend continued for round 2 because Metroid/Pac-Man was considered a bigger upset threat than Phantasy Star/Contra (again reasonable, because Pac-Man's an icon and Metroid is another debut game of a Noble Niner). At first I was like, "Nah, I'm not going to actually post this; that had to be sarcasm and I'm just going to provoke more ire." But then I looked at the review again, and it sounded serious. And the fact that it started with "prediction percentages don't lie" irked me most of all, because math has always been my subject and while I'd be all for seeing what the true prediction percentages were for later rounds (it's so hard to tell from prediction percentages alone whether or not a match is an "upset" in the late rounds because both sides' percentages are usually pretty low to begin with), but when the percentage is still above 50, that's obviously the favorite. So ire away.Spirit Tsunami 22:40, October 8, 2011 (UTC)