Most Unpredictable Contests

The Most Unpredictable Contests in GameFAQs Contest history, based on each season's average "casual" prediction percentage (aka the average % of brackets site-wide who predicted each match correctly). This article also covers which seasons the Contest Gurus had the most trouble predicting, so you can make a comparison between the casuals and the "experts."

Special Note: The Guru Contest was not formed until the Spring of 2004, so no Summer 2002 or Summer 2003 matches are eligible for the Guru listing. Additionally, these results are not limited to 1v1 main-bracket matches; 2005's Tournament of Champions, 2006's Battle Royale, and the four-way battles of Summer 2007 are also factored in. For 2007, percentages are based on how many brackets had a character advancing in either position, so for example if 180 out of 183 picked Link to take first and 3 took him to place second, Link gets credit for 100% confidence in that matchup.

Most Unpredictable Contests of All-Time
Through 9 Contests, the average site-wide prediction percentage is 65.33%.


 * 1) Characters '07 - 59.64%
 * 2) Characters '06 - 62.34%
 * 3) Characters '02 - 63.50%
 * 4) Characters '05 - 63.54%
 * 5) Characters '03 - 63.61%
 * 6) Games '04 - 66.25%
 * 7) Villains '05 - 67.60%
 * 8) Characters '04 - 69.97%
 * 9) Series '06 - 71.50%

The Gurus' Most Unpredictable Contests of All-Time
Through 7 Contests, the Gurus' average prediction percentage is 84.43%. The site-wide average during this same span is 65.83%.


 * 1) Characters '07 - 76.71%
 * 2) Characters '06 - 82.84%
 * 3) Characters '05 - 83.05%
 * 4) Villains '05 - 84.44%
 * 5) Games '04 - 85.56%
 * 6) Series '06 - 86.86%
 * 7) Characters '04 - 91.53%