Most Surprising Results

The Most Surprising Results in GameFAQs Contest history, based on what percentage of brackets site-wide expected them to occur.

Special Note: All 2007, 2008, and 2009 stats are based solely on how many brackets picked a character to advance, not how many had them to advance in the correct position, because SB's failure to explain the bracket more clearly resulted in nearly 50% of pickers not realizing that order mattered.

Most Surprising Results of All-Time
Entrants who predictors site-wide gave the least chance of advancing out of this particular round (or in the case of a 4-way Final, least chance of finishing #1 or #2).


 * 1) L-Block (R6) - 0.99% vs Link, Cloud, Snake in 2007
 * 2) L-Block (R5) - 1.66% vs Snake, Master Chief, Dante in 2007
 * 3) L-Block (R4) - 2.35% vs Snake, Sonic, Squall in 2007
 * 4) Charizard (R4) - 3.17% vs Bowser in 2010
 * 5) L-Block (R3) - 3.48% vs Snake, Kratos, Riku in 2007
 * 6) Mewtwo (R3) - 3.60% vs Cloud, Squall, Sora in 2008
 * 7) Final Fantasy X (R5) - 5.15% vs Ocarina of Time, Metal Gear Solid 4, Super Smash Bros. Brawl in 2009
 * 8) Cloud (R6) - 6.04% vs Sephiroth in 2003
 * 9) Kirby (R4) - 6.38% vs Sephiroth, Sonic, Dante in 2008
 * 10) L-Block (R2) - 6.67% vs Kratos, Kirby, Donkey Kong in 2007
 * 11) Melee (R4) - 7.16% vs StarCraft in 2004
 * 12) StarCraft (R3) - 7.91% vs Wind Waker in 2004
 * 13) Snake (BR) - 8.52% to outlast Sephiroth and Mario in the 2006 BR
 * 14) Charizard (R3) - 8.83% vs L-Block in 2010
 * 15) Amaterasu (R2) - 9.38% vs Dante, Ada, Balthier in 2007
 * 16) Mario (BR) - 9.96% to be eliminated before Snake and Sephiroth in the 2006 BR
 * 17) Crono (R5) - 9.44% vs Link, Mario, Samus in 2008
 * 18) Snake (R6) - 10.14% vs Link, Cloud, Crono in 2008
 * 19) Vincent (R3) - 10.94% vs Link, Crono, Zero in 2007
 * 20) Vincent (R3) - 12.47% vs Squall in 2005
 * 21) Samus (R6) - 12.54% vs Snake in 2006
 * 22) Link (R6) - 12.77% vs Mario in 2002
 * 23) Sonic (R4) - 13.31% vs Crono in 2006
 * 24) Zack Fair (R3) - 13.36% vs Link, Duke, Altair in 2008
 * 25) Cloud (R5) - 13.37% vs Link in 2003

Seasonal Representation

 * Characters '02 - 1
 * Characters '03 - 2
 * Games '04 - 2
 * Characters '05 - 1
 * Characters '06 - 4
 * Characters '07 - 7
 * Characters '08 - 5
 * Games '09 - 1
 * Characters '10 - 2

Most Surprising Results - 1v1 ONLY
The least-expected results site-wide, when considering only traditional 1v1 main bracket results (no Tournament of Champions, Battle Royale, or 4-ways allowed).


 * 1) Charizard (R4) - 3.17% vs Bowser in 2010
 * 2) Cloud (R6) - 6.04% vs Sephiroth in 2003
 * 3) Melee (R4) - 7.16% vs StarCraft in 2004
 * 4) StarCraft (R3) - 7.91% vs Wind Waker in 2004
 * 5) Charizard (R3) - 8.83% vs L-Block in 2010
 * 6) Vincent (R3) - 12.47% vs Squall in 2005
 * 7) Samus (R6) - 12.54% vs Snake in 2006
 * 8) Link (R6) - 12.77% vs Mario in 2002
 * 9) Sonic (R4) - 13.31% vs Crono in 2006
 * 10) Cloud (R5) - 13.37% vs Link in 2003
 * 11) Missingno. (R2) - 14.06% vs Yoshi in 2010
 * 12) Melee (R3) - 14.18% vs FFX in 2004
 * 13) Mega Man (R4) - 14.53% vs Snake in 2003
 * 14) Crono (R4) - 14.63% vs Snake in 2002
 * 15) Diablo (R3) - 14.76% vs Kefka in 2005
 * 16) StarCraft (R2) - 15.62% vs Kingdom Hearts 2004
 * 17) Ryu Hayabusa (R2) - 15.87% vs Master Chief in 2010
 * 18) Golden Sun (R2) - 16.05% vs San Andreas in 2010
 * 19) Scorpion (R3) - 17.30% vs Pac-Man in 2002
 * 20) Snake (R5) - 18.31% vs Sephiroth in 2010
 * 21) Vivi (R2) - 18.46% vs Altair in 2010
 * 22) Charizard (R2) - 18.62% vs Kratos in 2010
 * 23) Sub-Zero (R1) - 20.27% vs Master Chief in 2006
 * 24) Sephiroth (R5) - 21.73% vs Mega Man in 2003
 * 25) Missingno. (R1) - 21.94% vs Crono in 2010

Seasonal Representation

 * Characters '02 - 3
 * Characters '03 - 4
 * Games '04 - 4
 * Villains '05 - 1
 * Characters '05 - 1
 * Characters '06 - 3
 * Characters '10 - 8
 * Games '10 - 1

Most Surprising Results of Round One

 * 1) Tales of Symphonia - 16.10% vs Oblivion, God of War, San Andreas in 2009
 * 2) The Secret of Monkey Island - 18.97% vs Super Mario Bros. 3, SimCity, Tecmo Super Bowl in 2009
 * 3) Sub-Zero - 20.27% vs Master Chief in 2006
 * 4) Missingno. - 21.94% vs Crono in 2010
 * 5) StarCraft - 24.09% vs Halo in 2004
 * 6) Pokemon Ruby/Sapphire/Emerald - 26.23% vs Grand Theft Auto IV in 2010
 * 7) Paper Mario: The Thousand-Year Door - 29.33% vs Gears of War in 2010
 * 8) KOS-MOS - 30.09% vs Mega Man, Arthas, Diablo in 2007
 * 9) Castlevania - 31.49% vs Halo in 2006
 * 10) Portal - 32.29% vs Metal Gear Solid 4, Bioshock, LittleBigPlanet in 2009
 * 11) Morrowind - 32.76% vs Warcraft III in 2010
 * 12) L-Block - 32.77% vs Kirby, Laharl, Nathan Hale in 2007
 * 13) Sandbag - 33.03% vs Sonic, Magus, Commander Shepard in 2008
 * 14) HK-47 - 33.24% vs Zero, Lloyd, Jak in 2007
 * 15) Diablo II - 33.75% vs Halo, Knights of the Old Republic, Grand Theft Auto III in 2009
 * 16) Big Boss - 33.79% vs Mario, Pac-Man, Wander in 2007
 * 17) Warcraft - 33.94% vs Grand Theft Auto in 2006
 * 18) Mudkip - 34.50% vs Luigi, Pit, Tingle in 2007
 * 19) Bidoof - 34.56% vs Link, Edgeworth, Agent J in 2007
 * 20) Knuckles - 35.08% vs Magus in 2005
 * 21) Vivi - 35.13% vs Donkey Kong in 2004
 * 22) Hogger - 35.55% vs Dante, Ramza, Laharl in 2008
 * 23) Amaterasu - 36.27% vs Shadow the Hedgehog in 2010
 * 24) Deus Ex - 36.61% vs Rock Band 2 in 2010
 * 25) Vercetti - 37.66% vs Kefka in 2005

Seasonal Representation

 * Games '04 - 1
 * Characters '04 - 1
 * Characters '05 - 1
 * Series '06 - 2
 * Characters '06 - 1
 * Characters '07 - 7
 * Characters '08 - 2
 * Games '09 - 4
 * Characters '10 - 2
 * Games '10 - 4