(1)Chrono Trigger vs (1)Final Fantasy VI 2015

Ulti's Analysis
"The Fallen #1 Seeds"

I'm on such autopilot and have done so many writeups for this contest that I actually had to go and look up the seedings for these two games, in a poll called "The Fallen #1 Seeds". It's true.

Allen was nice enough to give us 4 simultaneous bonus polls after this contest, and while none of the matches were particularly good, bonus polls is always better than no bonus polls.

The second bonus poll was Allen choosing two 1 seeds to face each other. Chrono Trigger's selection made sense, but FF6's inclusion here seemed a bit odd. For maximum possible variety given his poll titles for the bonus matches (third place, 1 seeds, death by rally, and 2009 rematch), he should have replaced FF6 with Skyrim here. It would have actually given us a western game in the bonus polls, and we would have seen Melee, SMRPG, Chrono Trigger, Skyrim, Pokemon RBYG, Mario 64, FF7, and Ocarina. That prevents the same series from popping up twice, and gives you a fighter, two SNES RPGs instead of three, a western RPG, a Pokemon game, a Mario game, a Zelda game, and a Final Fantasy game. FF6 being here is really the only bonus poll choice I took exception to, but still, it's just a bonus poll and I'll always appreciate getting some bonus polls.

Chrono Trigger predictably smashed FF6 here, and it's a wonder this wasn't a massive SFF beating on par with what always happens when FF7 and FF8 are in a poll together. It made for a neat comparison though, as FF7 scored 60.05% against FF6 in the actual contest. It really gives a lot of validation to those who think Chrono Trigger would beat FF7 1v1, and I agree with that prediction.

I don't agree that Chrono Trigger would beat Ocarina (or even Pokemon RBY) 1v1 however. Go look at the writeup for the final and please tell me how Chrono Trigger qualifies as a game that could beat Zelda and win a contest. Chrono Trigger is strong, but it takes the contest version of a natural disaster to prevent Zelda from winning. Chrono Trigger doesn't qualify. If nothing else, natural disasters are what always buries CT. The adjusted stats people keep throwing around have CT at 50% alone, which I can respect the effort for but I thoroughly disagree with it. I'd like to see a version of those stats with CT, Ocarina, and Pokemon RBY all adjusted to 50%. Or at least CT and Ocarina both adjusted to 50%.

Personally I think Ocarina gets at least 53% bare minimum on CT 1v1, and probably more like 55-60%. But hey, not my stats or my adjustments. You guys all know my thoughts on x-stats by now, anyway. Fun for comparisons and fun to mess with, but they are as unreliable as they've ever been. As yoblazer said and it's worth repeating: contests don't work that way anymore. Every match is its own.