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Tuesday, August 6th, 2002

Ulti's Analysis[]

Poll 976
Division East Division
Match # 37
Match Date Tuesday, August 6th, 2002
Vote difference 11,474
Lara - 74.13%
(12,427 brackets)

The biggest thing to remember about this match is that at the time, we had no clue that Ryo Hazuki or Lara Croft were hiding the fact that they were contest jokes. None. The days of Ryo Hazuki and Lara Croft getting blasted to hell by Yoshi and Samus were two years away, and at the time of this match, all we had were two respectable characters performing at somewhat expected levels. We knew no better. It's very easy to say that Lara is a joke for allowing Hazuki to break 40% on her (especially as a 1 seed), but we didn't know at the time what either character's real nature was.

What he had was a ho-hum match that saw the expected character win. That's it. The only real concern here was Lara Croft, a 1 seed, allowing relatively unknown characters such as Chop Chop Master Onion and Ryo Hazuki to do so well against her. She was not performing up to her seeding at all, and with characters such as Crono, Dante, or Solid Snake lurking right around the corner, showing such a large sign of weakness could mean a mound of bad news in a hurry. It's possible that Hazuki truly was strong enough to do this well, but it was highly unlikely. It's hard to imagine Hazuki breaking 40% on true 1 seed material such as Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, or even Mega Man. The fact that he did this against Croft ensured that her odds of surviving such a stacked division were quite slim. Another clear warning sign of a possible Croft weakness was the fact that only 75% of people picked her to win two matches. This means that over 4000 people had either Chop Chop Master Onion, Ryo Hazuki, or Guybrush Threepwood(three complete scrubs) taking down the 1-seeded Lara Croft. Something was definitely amiss.

On a final note, pay close attention to Hazuki's score in this match. It's easily the last amount of respect you may ever be able to give him.

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2002 Contest Matches

Round One
Mario > Servbot
Morrigan > Spyro
Aya > Terry Bogard
Donkey Kong > Bub
Alucard > Tails
Duke > Iori
Pikachu > PaRappa
Cloud > Fox
Lara > Chop Chop
Ryo Hazuki > Guybrush
Crono > Simon
Dante > Q*Bert
Aeris > Kasumi
Tina > Gordon
Knuckles > Akira

Snake > Squall
Pac-Man > Goemon
Kyo > Abe
Scorpion > Kazuya
Max Payne > Dirk
Bomberman > Kane
Jill > Kirby
Strider > Raziel
Link > Little Mac
Sonic > Pitfall Harry
Tidus > Claire
Samus > Ken
Ryu > CATS
Mega Man > Ms. Pac-Man
Serious Sam > Mr. Driller
Sephiroth > Gabe
Crash > Ulala

Round Two
Mario > Morrigan
Donkey Kong > Aya
Alucard > Duke
Cloud > Pikachu
Lara > Ryo Hazuki
Crono > Dante
Aeris > Tina
Snake > Knuckles
Pac-Man > Kyo
Scorpion > Max Payne
Jill > Bomberman
Link > Strider
Sonic > Tidus
Samus > Ryu
Mega Man > Serious Sam
Sephiroth > Crash

R3 and following
Mario > Donkey Kong
Cloud > Alucard
Crono > Lara
Snake > Aeris
Scorpion > Pac-Man
Link > Jill
Samus > Sonic
Sephiroth > Mega Man
Mario > Cloud
Crono > Snake
Link > Scorpion
Sephiroth > Samus
Mario > Crono
Link > Sephiroth
Link > Mario (Finals)