Results[]
Ulti's Analysis[]
| Division | Hyrule Division |
|---|---|
| Match # | 01 |
| Match Date | Sunday, August 1st, 2004 |
| Vote difference | 62,319 |
| Oracle Expectations |
Link - 87.80% 84 for - 0 against |
| GameFAQs Prediction |
Link - 98.79% (32,819 brackets) |
CJayC flat-out told us that CATS was nothing more than a joke character, as well as LinkFodder, but appeased our appetite for the little guy by putting him in the contest anyway. Unfortunately for us, a glitched poll early in the match made us unable to see where all of the first votes went in the match. We were unable to see whether or not CATS got his standard early lead, and when the dust settled, Link was well on his way to a blowout win against the mistranslated favorite son of the CATS Army.
What was truly impoprtant about this match was that Link and Cloud now had a common opponent:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1313
Link wound up doing better against CATS than Cloud did by nearly a full percent, and the Extrapolated Statistics formula projected that Link could defeat Cloud's 2003 self with around 53% of the vote after this match. I'm not the biggest fan of set statistics trying to judge the transitivity -- or lack thereof -- among human opinion, but one quick look at the results of the finals shows that the Extrapolated Standing (Xst, for short) formula does work in cases where voting patterns remain static.
But still, in defense of Cloud, we were only one poll into the contest. Unfortunately, the "wait until next round before deciding where Link truly stands" philosophy was used by Cloud defenders throughout the contest, despite Link doing better than expected in every single one of his matches.
Match Trends[]
External Links[]
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