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Cb8-01

Results Edit

Round One
Poll3730

Saturday, January 16th, 2010


Poll 3730
Division Hyrule Division
Match # 01
Match Date Saturday, January 16th, 2010
Vote difference 36,135
Oracle
Expectations
Link - 85.10%
111 for - 0 against
GameFAQs
Prediction
Link - 96.52%
(25,105 brackets)

Ulti's AnalysisEdit

It's funny how spoiled we are. We're so used to hilarious blowouts from contest titans early that Link falling 0.19% short of 80% on Thrall is somehow a disappointment. Some math can probably be done with the Thrall/Vergil fourway match to show Link's exact underperformance here, but it doesn't matter because fourways are a joke. 1v1 is a whole different animal, and this was our first legit 1v1 in four years. A few percentages were bound to change in that time.

That said, Link had to deal with early anti-voting early in all his matches this contest. As popular and strong as Link is, people are truly getting tired of him winning all the time. It's not as loud as "WAAAH FF7 ALWAYS WINS", but it's there. Just look at the 2007 final. Link stayed extremely consistent trend-wise throughout this entire poll, and didn't really go up all that much with the morning vote.

This meant two things early on in this contest. The old trends we all knew were getting thrown out the window with matches only being 12 hours. Second, we had officially entered AntiBlowoutFAQs. The days of Zelda 1 scoring hilarious blowouts on Adventure are long gone. Because with the play-ins, the lower seeds are all tempered first. So now the higher seeds all go up against someone that's already won something, while the true joke characters get to have decent seeds and face characters like Ike, Zidane and Captain Falcon.

Match Trends Edit

Graph3730

External Links Edit

2010 Contest Matches

Round One
Link > Thrall
Alucard > Magus
Red > Ocelot
X > Price
Luigi > Meta Knight
Amaterasu > Shadow
Cube > Sandal
The Boss > Drake
Sonic > Lightning
Knuckles > Cecil
Ganondorf > Mewtwo
Ken > Wesker
Kirby > Rikku
GLaDOS > Fawful
Vivi > DK
Altair > Liquid
Mario > Falco
Big Boss > Edgeworth
Zidane > Claptrap
Ike > Prinny
Mega Man > Cid H
Zack > Yuna
Ryu H > Crash
Master Chief > Spy
Sora > Midna
Laharl > Neku
Kefka > Arthas
Bowser > Frog
L-Block > HK-47
Isaac > Layton
Charizard > Duke

Kratos > Tails
Samus > PoP
Jill > Niko
Roxas > Heavy
Sub-Zero > Tidus
Jecht > Phoenix Wright
Ratchet > Eddie
Zelda > Travis
Ezio > Simon
Cloud > Ridley
Chris > MacMillan
Riku > Ramza
Falcon > Wander
Leon > Vault Boy
Sackboy > Kratos A
Ryu > Balthier
Dante > Axel
Snake > Proto Man
Fox > Lloyd
Pikachu > Banjo
Shepard > Ellis
Auron > Aeris
Zero > Marcus
Terra > Revan
Squall > Akuma
Sephiroth > Marth
Vincent > Guybrush
Yoshi > Jak
Missingno > Crono
Big Daddy > Soap
Ness > Geno
Tifa > Yuri
Gordon > Peach

Round Two
Link > Alucard
X > Red
Luigi > Amaterasu
Cube > The Boss
Sonic > Knuckles
Ganondorf > Ken
Kirby > GLaDOS
Vivi > Altair
Mario > Big Boss
Ike > Zidane
Mega Man > Zack
Ryu H > Master Chief
Sora > Laharl
Bowser > Kefka
L-Block > Isaac
Charizard > Kratos
Samus > Jill
Sub-Zero > Roxas
Jecht > Ratchet
Zelda > Ezio
Cloud > Chris
Falcon > Riku
Leon > Sackboy
Ryu > Dante
Snake > Fox
Pikachu > Shepard
Auron > Zero
Squall > Terra
Sephiroth > Vincent
Missingno > Yoshi
Big Daddy > Ness
Tifa > Gordon

R3 and following
Link > X
Luigi > Cube
Sonic > Ganondorf
Kirby > Vivi
Mario > Ike
Mega Man > Ryu H
Bowser > Sora
Charizard > L-Block
Samus > Sub-Zero
Zelda > Jecht
Cloud > Falcon
Ryu > Leon
Snake > Pikachu
Squall > Auron
Sephiroth > Missingno
Tifa > Big Daddy
Link > Luigi
Sonic > Kirby
Mario > Mega Man
Charizard > Bowser
Samus > Zelda
Cloud > Ryu
Snake > Squall
Sephiroth > Tifa
Link > Sonic
Mario > Charizard
Cloud > Samus
Snake > Sephiroth
Link > Mario
Cloud > Snake
Link > Cloud

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