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Cb05b47

Results[]

Poll2112

Saturday, September 3rd, 2005

Ulti's Analysis[]

Poll 2112
Round 20XX Division Semi Final
Match # 47
Match Date Saturday, September 3rd, 2005
Vote difference 27,237
Oracle
Expectations
Mega Man - 71.01%
80 for - 0 against
GameFAQs
Prediction
Mega Man - 72.40%
(24,466 brackets)

Who the...? What the...?

Not only did Leon Kennedy go out and do better than what Jill 2004 would be expected to do, he did so by a whopping 8%. If that isn't proof that Jill was completely screwed by the 2004 stats, I don't know what is.

Granted I'm writing the conclusion before the hypothesis, but come on, this match was consistent. And consistency in a contest match = boring. The only thing of any note in the match itself is that Mega Man began the poll over 70%, then slowly fell to hovering over the 64% level. For the entire second half of the match, Mega Man stayed between 64.53% and 64.7%. There isn't a whole heck of a lot to dissect with those numbers other than Leon doing better than many people expected him to.

Though given how sporadic Resident Evil characters tend to be, who knows what's going on with Leon. He will likely wind up staying consistent due to being in the most critically acclaimed Resident Evil of all time (and he'll be getting onto the Playstation 2 very soon), but it wouldn't surprise me in the least if he went up against a character next year that he'd be expected to crush, yet choke. RE characters do that from time to time.

And because Black Turtle demands it, Gordon Freeman would be expected to score 29.36% on Mega Man based upon this match as opposed to 13.18% based upon the 2002 stats.

Match Trends[]

Graph2112

External Links[]

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2005 Summer Contest Matches

Round One
Mario > Joanna
Ness > CJ
Zero > Ryu H
Lloyd > Wesker
Samus > Yuri
Frog > Riku
Ganondorf > Yuna
Auron > Big Boss
Snake > Manny
Zelda > Vivi
Alucard > Kratos
Sora > Agent 47
Kirby > Cecil
Tidus > King
Bowser > Chun Li

Ryu > Rikku
Master Chief > CATS
Donkey Kong > Sam Fisher
Vercetti > Kefka
Crono > Zidane
Dante > Terra
Vincent > Kerrigan
Knuckles > Magus
Squall > Geno
Sonic > Jin Kazama
Diablo > Kratos Aurion
Tifa > Vyse
Luigi > KOS-MOS
Mega Man > Conker
Leon > Gordon
Yoshi > Laharl
Pac-Man > Ocelot

Round Two
Mario > Ness
Zero > Lloyd
Samus > Frog
Ganondorf > Auron
Snake > Zelda
Sora > Alucard
Kirby > Tidus
Bowser > Ryu
Master Chief > DK
Crono > Vercetti
Vincent > Dante
Squall > Knuckles
Sonic > Diablo
Tifa > Luigi
Mega Man > Leon
Yoshi > Pac-Man

R3 and following
Mario > Zero
Samus > Ganondorf
Snake > Sora
Bowser > Kirby
Crono > Master Chief
Vincent > Squall
Sonic > Tifa
Mega Man > Yoshi
Mario > Samus
Snake > Bowser
Crono > Vincent
Mega Man > Sonic
Mario > Snake
Crono > Mega Man
Mario > Crono (Finals)


Tournament of
Champions

Link > Cloud

Sephiroth > Mario

Link > Sephiroth

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