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Cb8-119

Results[]

Poll3848
Tuesday, March 16th, 2010


Poll 3848
Round Gear Division Final
Match # 119
Match Date Tuesday, March 16th, 2010
Vote difference 10,172
Oracle
Expectations
Solid Snake - 57.59%
77 for - 0 against
GameFAQs
Prediction
Solid Snake - 54.64%

Ulti's Analysis[]

This was our fourth time seeing this match. For reference's sake, the past three:

2002: Snake 65.43% - Squall 34.57%
2006: Snake 57.59% - Squall 42.41%
2007: Snake 58.48% - Squall 41.52% (the L-Block > Snake > Sonic > Squall match)

2002 obviously happened when Squall only had FF8 going for him, so we can throw it out. Squall is a great barometer for how Snake has incrementally increased the past few years, even if two characters facing each other four times kinda sucks.

As you can see, Snake keeps going up little by little. He was actually over 60% for a little while in this match, before the TDZ came and got Squall back over 40% for good. It was the first match all contest where Snake looked good for 12 hours straight, and was the match where it was realized Snake was coming for Sephiroth's head. Then Sephy just collapsed against Tifa and the so-called upset became a mortal lock.

Beyond that, the story here was Squall's seeding. He was the only 2 seed all contest to do what he was supposed to do and make it to round 4. The other 7 of them -- Nathan Drake, Altair, Master Chief, Kratos, Ezio, Dante and Gordon Freeman -- all failed to even get out of the second round. In the third round thanks to this 2 Seed Curse, we had four straight 3 vs 7 matches (and five total), two 14 vs 10 matches and only one 3 vs 2 match.

The biggest irony of this entire contest is outside Squall himself, Kratos was the only properly seeded 2 in the entire bracket.

Match Trends[]

Graph3848

External Links[]

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2010 Contest Matches

Round One
Link > Thrall
Alucard > Magus
Red > Ocelot
X > Price
Luigi > Meta Knight
Amaterasu > Shadow
Cube > Sandal
The Boss > Drake
Sonic > Lightning
Knuckles > Cecil
Ganondorf > Mewtwo
Ken > Wesker
Kirby > Rikku
GLaDOS > Fawful
Vivi > DK
Altair > Liquid
Mario > Falco
Big Boss > Edgeworth
Zidane > Claptrap
Ike > Prinny
Mega Man > Cid H
Zack > Yuna
Ryu H > Crash
Master Chief > Spy
Sora > Midna
Laharl > Neku
Kefka > Arthas
Bowser > Frog
L-Block > HK-47
Isaac > Layton
Charizard > Duke

Kratos > Tails
Samus > PoP
Jill > Niko
Roxas > Heavy
Sub-Zero > Tidus
Jecht > Phoenix Wright
Ratchet > Eddie
Zelda > Travis
Ezio > Simon
Cloud > Ridley
Chris > MacMillan
Riku > Ramza
Falcon > Wander
Leon > Vault Boy
Sackboy > Kratos A
Ryu > Balthier
Dante > Axel
Snake > Proto Man
Fox > Lloyd
Pikachu > Banjo
Shepard > Ellis
Auron > Aeris
Zero > Marcus
Terra > Revan
Squall > Akuma
Sephiroth > Marth
Vincent > Guybrush
Yoshi > Jak
Missingno > Crono
Big Daddy > Soap
Ness > Geno
Tifa > Yuri
Gordon > Peach

Round Two
Link > Alucard
X > Red
Luigi > Amaterasu
Cube > The Boss
Sonic > Knuckles
Ganondorf > Ken
Kirby > GLaDOS
Vivi > Altair
Mario > Big Boss
Ike > Zidane
Mega Man > Zack
Ryu H > Master Chief
Sora > Laharl
Bowser > Kefka
L-Block > Isaac
Charizard > Kratos
Samus > Jill
Sub-Zero > Roxas
Jecht > Ratchet
Zelda > Ezio
Cloud > Chris
Falcon > Riku
Leon > Sackboy
Ryu > Dante
Snake > Fox
Pikachu > Shepard
Auron > Zero
Squall > Terra
Sephiroth > Vincent
Missingno > Yoshi
Big Daddy > Ness
Tifa > Gordon

R3 and following
Link > X
Luigi > Cube
Sonic > Ganondorf
Kirby > Vivi
Mario > Ike
Mega Man > Ryu H
Bowser > Sora
Charizard > L-Block
Samus > Sub-Zero
Zelda > Jecht
Cloud > Falcon
Ryu > Leon
Snake > Pikachu
Squall > Auron
Sephiroth > Missingno
Tifa > Big Daddy
Link > Luigi
Sonic > Kirby
Mario > Mega Man
Charizard > Bowser
Samus > Zelda
Cloud > Ryu
Snake > Squall
Sephiroth > Tifa
Link > Sonic
Mario > Charizard
Cloud > Samus
Snake > Sephiroth
Link > Mario
Cloud > Snake
Link > Cloud

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