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Cb541

Results[]

Round Two

Poll2539

Sunday, October 22nd, 2006

Ulti's Analysis[]

Poll 2539
Round Patriot Division Semi Final
Match # 41
Match Date Sunday, October 22nd, 2006
Vote difference 20,648
Oracle
Expectations
Solid Snake - 55.67%
108 for - 5 against
GameFAQs
Prediction
Solid Snake - 79.20%
(33,776 brackets)

There was a lot of upset discussion going into this match, based off of 2005 stats:

Snake (2005c) VS Squall (2005c)

Snake has a strength of 36.97.
Squall has a strength of 35.16.

Snake wins with 52.45% of the vote!
A win of 4,945 with 100,996 total votes cast.

Assuming a standard Snake tank-job (happens every year) paired with a potential KH2 boost for Squall, you end with a longshot upset and some noisy fans throwing numbers around. It all made enough sense, but that's.... why they play the games. </Berman>

All talk of an upset died within minutes of this match beginning; Snake took a comfortable lead and ran with it, with Squall giving no indication of ever coming back. In fact the polar opposite of an upset was taking place in that Snake was doing much better than his value prediction, and on a KH2 Squall to boot. This was the first true indication that Snake was on steroids this contest, and we all know it wouldn't be the last. Just glancing at the updater, I think Squall only won one update; that's pretty bad considering how close these two were in the stats.

But from the silver lining department: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=955

Squall increased 8% in four years! Come 2010, Squall might have a chance in a rematch <_<

Match Trends[]

Graph2539

External Links[]

Previous Match       • Next Match

2006 Summer Contest Matches

R1 (Female)
Samus > Nidoran F
Ada > Jade
Rikku > Lenneth
Kairi > Claire
Tifa > Ivy
The Boss > Celes
Jill > Sheena
Peach > Daisy
Zelda > Carmen
Terra > Kerrigan
KOS-MOS > Amy Rose
Aeris > Marle
Yuna > Roll
Joanna > Cortana
Chun Li > Kasumi
Lara > Alyx Vance

R1 (Male)
Snake > Soma
Squall > Tidus
Yoshi > Riku
Dante > Ryu H
Sora > Tingle
Gordon > Phoenix
Ryu > Kratos
Mega Man > Axel
Sonic > CATS
Vincent > Ganondorf
Kirby > PoP
Luigi > Zero
Crono > Falcon
Bowser > Leon
Auron > Alucard
Sub-Zero > Master Chief

Round Two
Samus > Ada
Rikku > Kairi
Tifa > The Boss
Peach > Jill
Zelda > Terra
Aeris > KOS-MOS
Yuna > Joanna
Chun Li > Lara
Snake > Squall
Yoshi > Dante
Sora > Gordon
Mega Man > Ryu
Sonic > Vincent
Luigi > Kirby
Crono > Bowser
Auron > Sub-Zero

R3 and following
Samus > Rikku
Tifa > Peach
Zelda > Aeris
Yuna > Chun Li
Snake > Yoshi
Mega Man > Sora
Sonic > Luigi
Crono > Auron
Samus > Tifa
Zelda > Yuna
Snake > Mega Man
Sonic > Crono
Samus > Zelda
Snake > Sonic
Samus > Snake (Finals)
Solano > Link (Ultimate)


Battle Royale

Day 1 (6 left)
Day 2 (5 left)

Day 3 (4 left)
Day 4 (3 left)

Final Day:
Link > Cloud

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