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Wednesday, September 15th, 2004

Ulti's Analysis[]

Poll 1762
Division Chaos Division
Match # 45
Match Date Wednesday, September 15th, 2004
Vote difference 8,738
Sonic the Hedgehog - 57.63%
56 for - 0 against
Sonic the Hedgehog - 72.26%
(24,005 brackets)

After Samus's killing of Lara Croft in the first round, Sonic not only had to beat Ryu, but he had to make a statement to show Samus that he had a chance at taking the division. Unfrotunately, Sonic failed to do so. In the beginning of the poll, Ryu held his own and went 50-50 with Sonic for quite while before Sonic finally managed to pull away for good. Ryu never had much of a chance of winning the match, but he had a moral victory here nonetheless. His performance in this match, even though he performed exactly as expected according to 2003 numbers, more or less showed that Samus had the division wrapped up. This match showed that Sonic had more or less remained consistent, but consistency is not enough to take down a Samus that is on an obvious rise.

As for the actual match itself, the one thing I found interesting was the horribly low prediction percentage. Sonic was 2 seed material at worst, yet only 72.26% of people had him into the third round? Aside from that, another predictable match in a predictable contest.

Match Trends[]


External Links[]

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2004 Summer Contest Matches

Round One
Link > CATS
Ganondorf > Alucard
Yoshi > Ryo Hazuki
Luigi > Pac-Man
Magus > Luca Blight
Crono > Conker
Bowser > Guybrush
Mario > JC Denton
Mega Man > Earthworm Jim
Tidus > Shadow
Vercetti > Max Payne
Zero > Protoman
Frog > Liquid
Master Chief > Crash
Knuckles > Kefka

Snake > Tanner
Cloud > Duke
Vyse > Laharl
Kirby > Kain
Squall > Bomberman
Ness > Jak
Auron > Scorpion
Vivi > Donkey Kong
Sephiroth > Sly Cooper
Sonic > Terry Bogard
Tails > VJ
Dante > Ratchet
Sora > HK-47
Ryu H > Jill
Sam Fisher > Gordon
Samus > Lara

Round Two
Link > Ganondorf
Yoshi > Luigi
Crono > Magus
Mario > Bowser
Mega Man > Tidus
Zero > Vercetti
Frog > Master Chief
Snake > Knuckles
Cloud > Vyse
Squall > Kirby
Auron > Ness
Sephiroth > Vivi
Sonic > Ryu
Dante > Tails
Sora > Ryu H
Samus > Sam Fisher

R3 and following
Link > Yoshi
Crono > Mario
Mega Man > Zero
Snake > Frog
Cloud > Squall
Sephiroth > Auron
Sonic > Dante
Samus > Sora
Link > Crono
Mega Man > Snake
Cloud > Sephiroth
Samus > Sonic
Link > Mega Man
Cloud > Samus
Link > Cloud (Finals)