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Cb8-77

Results[]

Poll3806
Tuesday, February 23rd, 2010


Poll 3806
Division Heart Division
Match # 77
Match Date Tuesday, February 23rd, 2010
Vote difference 16,688
Oracle
Expectations
Sora - 70.62%
96 for - 0 against
GameFAQs
Prediction
Sora - 78.97%

Ulti's Analysis[]

Going back a ways, but:

Sora - 73.59%
Laharl - 26.41%

This is based on the 2004 stats. Remember in 2004, Sora upset Ryu Hayabusa before losing to Samus in round 3. He might be a little overrated in those stats because of Samus's so-called overperformance on Cloud. You could make a decent argument Samus overperformed on Cloud, who then overperformed on Link in the final. As for Laharl, lost to Vyse, who got rocked by Cloud in the very next match. No real arguments there.

Now this was before Sora started curbstomping people with Kingdom Hearts ASVs and all the rest. There weren't 4 Kingdom Hearts characters in the field, only one. And that Sora, a weaker Sora than what would show up in future years, would be expected to nearly triple Laharl. If you want to argue Sora is overrated that year, then maybe you can say in 2010, Sora truly did as-expected based in 2004.

Here's the point. People who picked Sora > Bowser did so on the basis of Sora being the godslayer from 4ways. For whatever reason this contest, all of Kingdom Hearts reverted back to decently liked, but not beloved levels. 68% on Laharl as a 1 seed is penultimately embarrassing, and Bowser > Sora was a stone cold lock upon this match going in the books. There was no possible way to argue in Sora's favor after such a terrible showing. Yes he got unlucky with all his matches being at night this year, but after his Laharl match you could easily argue Bowser would have beaten him during the day.

Match Trends[]

Graph3806

External Links[]

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2010 Contest Matches

Round One
Link > Thrall
Alucard > Magus
Red > Ocelot
X > Price
Luigi > Meta Knight
Amaterasu > Shadow
Cube > Sandal
The Boss > Drake
Sonic > Lightning
Knuckles > Cecil
Ganondorf > Mewtwo
Ken > Wesker
Kirby > Rikku
GLaDOS > Fawful
Vivi > DK
Altair > Liquid
Mario > Falco
Big Boss > Edgeworth
Zidane > Claptrap
Ike > Prinny
Mega Man > Cid H
Zack > Yuna
Ryu H > Crash
Master Chief > Spy
Sora > Midna
Laharl > Neku
Kefka > Arthas
Bowser > Frog
L-Block > HK-47
Isaac > Layton
Charizard > Duke

Kratos > Tails
Samus > PoP
Jill > Niko
Roxas > Heavy
Sub-Zero > Tidus
Jecht > Phoenix Wright
Ratchet > Eddie
Zelda > Travis
Ezio > Simon
Cloud > Ridley
Chris > MacMillan
Riku > Ramza
Falcon > Wander
Leon > Vault Boy
Sackboy > Kratos A
Ryu > Balthier
Dante > Axel
Snake > Proto Man
Fox > Lloyd
Pikachu > Banjo
Shepard > Ellis
Auron > Aeris
Zero > Marcus
Terra > Revan
Squall > Akuma
Sephiroth > Marth
Vincent > Guybrush
Yoshi > Jak
Missingno > Crono
Big Daddy > Soap
Ness > Geno
Tifa > Yuri
Gordon > Peach

Round Two
Link > Alucard
X > Red
Luigi > Amaterasu
Cube > The Boss
Sonic > Knuckles
Ganondorf > Ken
Kirby > GLaDOS
Vivi > Altair
Mario > Big Boss
Ike > Zidane
Mega Man > Zack
Ryu H > Master Chief
Sora > Laharl
Bowser > Kefka
L-Block > Isaac
Charizard > Kratos
Samus > Jill
Sub-Zero > Roxas
Jecht > Ratchet
Zelda > Ezio
Cloud > Chris
Falcon > Riku
Leon > Sackboy
Ryu > Dante
Snake > Fox
Pikachu > Shepard
Auron > Zero
Squall > Terra
Sephiroth > Vincent
Missingno > Yoshi
Big Daddy > Ness
Tifa > Gordon

R3 and following
Link > X
Luigi > Cube
Sonic > Ganondorf
Kirby > Vivi
Mario > Ike
Mega Man > Ryu H
Bowser > Sora
Charizard > L-Block
Samus > Sub-Zero
Zelda > Jecht
Cloud > Falcon
Ryu > Leon
Snake > Pikachu
Squall > Auron
Sephiroth > Missingno
Tifa > Big Daddy
Link > Luigi
Sonic > Kirby
Mario > Mega Man
Charizard > Bowser
Samus > Zelda
Cloud > Ryu
Snake > Squall
Sephiroth > Tifa
Link > Sonic
Mario > Charizard
Cloud > Samus
Snake > Sephiroth
Link > Mario
Cloud > Snake
Link > Cloud

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