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Spr04b40

Results[]

Poll1640

Thursday, May 13th, 2004
Friday, May 14th, 2004

Ulti's Analysis[]

Poll 1640
Division Division 16
Match # 40
Match Date Thursday, May 13th, 2004
Friday, May 14th, 2004
Vote difference 33,793
Oracle
Expectations
Final Fantasy VI - 72.33%
63 for - 0 against
GameFAQs
Prediction
Final Fantasy VI - 66.89%
(27,385 brackets)

Doom had no chance in hell of winning this match on our site, so there is really no point saying how FF6 won. This is gamefaqs, where Square and Zelda are boss. First Person Shooters may have existed without Doom, and they they would have sucked. A shame that such a great title went down with such a thud, but hey, gamefaqs is a console-based site.

What I will get into is the final four within this division. Originally, this division seemed like a collision course between LTTP and Chrono Trigger. But with Chrono Trigger's struggle against Super Mario RPG and FF6's good showing in this match, it turned into a four way race. There were multiple posts in the discussion topic involving the favorites in each division. At this point, the favorites in the first two divisions were Zelda 1 and LTTP, while the other two divisions were up in the air.

I also had a discussion on AIM with BigCow involving Division 16, and he said that despite FF6's low prediction percentage to even make the sweet sixteen (what was going to beat it, anyway? Doom? Earthbound? Mortal Kombat? Give me a break here), that the three heavy hitters in Division 16 all had equal chances of winning. And here is why:

  • Chrono Trigger's votes against Super Mario RPG: 53516
  • Link to the Past's votes against Super Metroid: 53413
  • Final Fantasy 6's votes against Doom: 54078

665 votes was the difference between the three big hitters of Division 16 out of 161007 total votes. Oddly enough, Link to the Past had the lowest vote total of the three games, while Final Fantasy 6 wound up with the highest. And despite prediction percentages and bracket voting and all of that other nonsense BigCow, yet again, wound up being dead-on with his analysis of these three games. They did all have an equal chance of winning, with an outside chance that Chrono Trigger may even lose its next match against Super Mario World. And the next three matches that would decide this division wound up showing that these three games were a lot closer than some of us may have thought.

Match Trends[]

Graph1640

External Links[]

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2004 Spring Contest Matches

Round One
SMB3 > Metal Gear
Metroid > Pac-Man
Contra > Phantasy Star
FF > Pitfall
Donkey Kong > Duck Hunt
Zelda > Adventure
Pong > River City Ransom
Tetris > Galaga
CT > Secret of Mana
SMRPG > Street Fighter II
Sonic 2 > Shining Force
SMW > Simpsons
Zelda: LttP > Gunstar Heroes
Super Metroid > PS IV
Doom > Earthbound

FF VI > Mortal Kombat
FF VII > Suikoden II
Xenogears > Pokemon GSC
FFT > DDR
MGS > RE
SotN > Perfect Dark
Goldeneye > PDS
SM64 > NiGHTS
Zelda: OoT > Fallout 2
Starcraft > Halo
KH > Soul Calibur
Zelda: WW > Skies of Arcadia
Metroid Prime > Half-Life
FFTA > Fire Emblem
FF X > Shenmue
GTA: Vice City > KoTOR
SSBM > MGS 2

Round Two
SMB 3 > Metroid
FF > Contra
Zelda > Donkey Kong
Tetris > Pong
CT > SMRPG
SMW > Sonic 2
Zelda: LttP > Super Metroid
FF VI > Doom
FF VII > Xenogears
MGS > FFT
Goldeneye > SotN
Zelda: OoT > SM64
Starcraft > KH
Zelda: WW > Metroid Prime
FF X > FFTA
SSBM > GTA: Vice City

R3 and following
SMB3 > FF
Zelda > Tetris
CT > SMW
Zelda: LttP > FF VI
FF VII > MGS
Zelda: OoT > Goldeneye
Starcraft > Zelda: WW
SSBM > FF X
SMB3 > Zelda
CT > Zelda: LttP
FF VII > Zelda: OoT
SSBM > Starcraft
CT > SMB3
FF VII > SSBM
FF VII > CT (Finals)

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