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Sum03b48

Results Edit

Poll1352

Sunday, August 17th, 2003

Ulti's Analysis Edit

Poll 1352
Division West Division
Match # 48
Match Date Sunday, August 17th, 2003
Vote difference 23,199
Oracle
Expectations
Mega Man - 69.79%
57 for - 1 against
GameFAQs
Prediction
Mega Man - 52.18%
(21,426 brackets)

To this day, I'll never get why people underestimate Mega Man in every contest. 52.18% prediction percentage to get into the third round when his only competition was Resetti, Zelda, and Lara Croft? This hasn't gotten much better in future contests, either.

The funny thing about Mega's match with Zelda is that it's the first match he ever had in which he didn't blow everyone away. Everything up to this point was either a killer blowout or the near-upset of Sephiroth. And while people didn't expect Mega Man to go berserk on Zelda, they expected him to do a lot better than this.

It's not the 60-40 that bothered everyone so much as the fact that Mega Man had a doubling on Zelda when the match began. Mega then spent the rest of the match watching his percentage slowly being lowered, especially in the morning and early afternoon. This wasn't a bad match for Mega Man per say (you know, given that Link and friends were the stars for the first two rounds), but it's tough to imagine Mega taking down Sephiroth in a rematch when he can't manage more than 60% on Zelda. The only thing that really made Mega's supporters feel better was Link's dominance, by extension perhaps Zelda was much stronger than many expected. She is after all SSBM's best character.

And on that note, the first two rounds of this contest were over. This contest had given us everything we asked for -- close matches, shocking upsets, classic Nintendo/Square battles and new characters doing well -- and the home stretch would continue to impress.

External Links Edit

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2003 Contest Matches

Round One
Link > AiAi
Fox > Pikachu
Ganondorf > Tidus
Magus > Sam Fisher
Squall > Jill
Luigi > Ratchet
KOS-MOS > Crash
Samus > Isaac
Cloud > CATS
Auron > Tails
Bowser > Ness
Yoshi > Conker
Aeris > Sora
Master Chief > Felix
Zero > Scorpion

Sonic > Ken
Mario > Olimar
Shadow > Wario
Kefka > Pac-Man
Crono > Tom Nook
Alucard > Bomberman
Kirby > Ramza
Max Payne > Gordon
Sephiroth > Raziel
Snake > Raiden
Knuckles > Yuna
Ryu > Duke
Dante > Ryo Hazuki
Donkey Kong > Vyse
Vercetti > Kite
Zelda > Lara Croft
Mega Man > Mr. Resetti

Round Two
Link > Fox
Magus > Ganondorf
Squall > Luigi
Samus > KOS-MOS
Cloud > Auron
Bowser > Yoshi
Aeris > Master Chief
Sonic > Zero
Mario > Shadow
Crono > Kefka
Alucard > Kirby
Sephiroth > Max Payne
Snake > Knuckles
Ryu > Dante
Vercetti > Donkey Kong
Mega Man > Zelda

R3 and following
Link > Magus
Samus > Squall
Cloud > Bowser
Sonic > Aeris
Mario > Crono
Sephiroth > Alucard
Snake > Ryu
Mega Man > Vercetti
Link > Samus
Cloud > Sonic
Sephiroth > Mario
Mega Man > Snake
Cloud > Link
Sephiroth > Mega Man
Cloud > Sephiroth (Finals)

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