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Results[]

Poll1634

Friday, May 7th, 2004

Ulti's Analysis[]

Poll 1634
Division Division 8
Match # 34
Match Date Friday, May 7th, 2004
Vote difference 31,994
Oracle
Expectations
Final Fantasy - 73.70%
64 for - 0 against
GameFAQs
Prediction
Final Fantasy - 82.01%
(33,575 brackets)

First and foremost, I am disgusted that the Black Mage was not the character representing Final Fantasy in the match picture. I mean, what did he ever do to deserve such punishment? ...besides all the sinning...

And then there is the prediction percentage. Only 72% of people predicted Mario 3 to reach the sweet sixteen, while 82% of people predicted Final Fantasy making the sweet sixteen. Mario 3 was a lock from the beginning to win its half division, yet it was outnumbered by Final Fantasy by 10% to even reach the sweet sixteen? If that isn't gamefaqs Square bias, I don't know what is. Either that, or people relying too much on past results to choose their brackets in this contest.

Anyway, Contra wound up performing well in this contest as a whole. Phantasy Star was overseeded, yet Contra beat it soundly. As for its match against Final Fantasy here, yes it lost 70-30, but 30% of the vote on a Final Fantasy title on this site is nothing to laugh at. In the overall standings, Contra isn't powerful at all. But within the realm of Division 8, I don't think it did badly at all. If we knew of the results of the Final Fantasy/Mario 3 poll before this match, we wouldn't call the game that lives on the best cheat code ever made losing 70-30 to Final Fantasy all that bad. It's still a decent franchise -- nothing amazing, but nothing too bad either -- and it still has some very loyal fans. Just look at MWIS ~_^

The perspective on Final Fantasy is slightly different. As I said before, 10% more people thought Final Fantasy would get here than Mario 3. Did people look at their brackets and assume that since Samus and Solid Snake could pose threats to Mario that their games within Division 8 stood a chance? It's the only thing I can think of, and it makes enough sense. But looking at the stats before the imminent Final Fantasy/Mario 3 match, one could actually assume that Final Fantasy had a chance of winning. I maintain that Mario 3 was a lock for at least the elite eight in this contest, and the very thought of another game in Mario 3's half division being able to pose any threat whatsoever was simply unheard of before this contest. Final Fantasy did that well in the first two rounds, and it wound up doing damned well in the third as well.

Match Trends[]

Graph1634

External Links[]

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2004 Spring Contest Matches

Round One
SMB3 > Metal Gear
Metroid > Pac-Man
Contra > Phantasy Star
FF > Pitfall
Donkey Kong > Duck Hunt
Zelda > Adventure
Pong > River City Ransom
Tetris > Galaga
CT > Secret of Mana
SMRPG > Street Fighter II
Sonic 2 > Shining Force
SMW > Simpsons
Zelda: LttP > Gunstar Heroes
Super Metroid > PS IV
Doom > Earthbound

FF VI > Mortal Kombat
FF VII > Suikoden II
Xenogears > Pokemon GSC
FFT > DDR
MGS > RE
SotN > Perfect Dark
Goldeneye > PDS
SM64 > NiGHTS
Zelda: OoT > Fallout 2
Starcraft > Halo
KH > Soul Calibur
Zelda: WW > Skies of Arcadia
Metroid Prime > Half-Life
FFTA > Fire Emblem
FF X > Shenmue
GTA: Vice City > KoTOR
SSBM > MGS 2

Round Two
SMB 3 > Metroid
FF > Contra
Zelda > Donkey Kong
Tetris > Pong
CT > SMRPG
SMW > Sonic 2
Zelda: LttP > Super Metroid
FF VI > Doom
FF VII > Xenogears
MGS > FFT
Goldeneye > SotN
Zelda: OoT > SM64
Starcraft > KH
Zelda: WW > Metroid Prime
FF X > FFTA
SSBM > GTA: Vice City

R3 and following
SMB3 > FF
Zelda > Tetris
CT > SMW
Zelda: LttP > FF VI
FF VII > MGS
Zelda: OoT > Goldeneye
Starcraft > Zelda: WW
SSBM > FF X
SMB3 > Zelda
CT > Zelda: LttP
FF VII > Zelda: OoT
SSBM > Starcraft
CT > SMB3
FF VII > SSBM
FF VII > CT (Finals)

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