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Cb8-16

Results Edit

Poll3745

Saturday, January 23rd, 2010


Poll 3745
Division Chaos Division
Match # 16
Match Date Saturday, January 23rd, 2010
Vote difference 13,869
Oracle
Expectations
Altair - 48.23%
37 for - 76 against
GameFAQs
Prediction
Altair - 55.10%

Ulti's AnalysisEdit

Chaos's first round ended with an extremely weird match. This was the performance many were expecting from Nathan Drake -- mass appeal casual next-gen character winning a day match over a little-known MGS character. It should have been easy for Nathan, but somehow wasn't.

With this match, we were dealing with two much stronger characters in the same boat. Altair was the 2 seed with massive casual appeal, and he got one of the best pictures ever to boot. Liquid was the odds-on stats favorite to win, especially given how berserk he was in 2008, but something just felt funny about this match. Liquid was the favorite, but there was a growing sentiment Altair was going to pull something off. Then the match pic came out, and people started giving up all hope for Liquid. Granted Liquid looks like crap in EVERY match pic, but we're in a new contest age. Everyone has seen all this stuff before, so now everything matters. Picture matters, bandwagons matter, rallies matter, anti-votes matter. And given how much of the Assassin's Creed strength comes from casual appeal and match pictures, Altair had a massive advantage going in.

And even still, could anyone have guessed this would be a 60-40 blowout? Liquid, SFF help or not, beat Luigi twice. One contest later, he goes out and just doesn't even show up against Altair, and all this came less than a week after Boss's upset of Nathan Drake. Altair just totally hammered this poll, which makes the Nathan match all the more confusing. Every single factor people came up with to discredit The Boss against Nathan came to fruition here, and against a character who has proven strong in the past. It makes absolutely no sense.

You can come up with any factor for Altair you want here, but most of them are discredited by Altair and Ezio proving to be garbage later on this contest. Liquid just decided not to show up for whatever reason today, in spectacular fashion.

Match Trends Edit

Graph3745

External Links Edit

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2010 Contest Matches

Round One
Link > Thrall
Alucard > Magus
Red > Ocelot
X > Price
Luigi > Meta Knight
Amaterasu > Shadow
Cube > Sandal
The Boss > Drake
Sonic > Lightning
Knuckles > Cecil
Ganondorf > Mewtwo
Ken > Wesker
Kirby > Rikku
GLaDOS > Fawful
Vivi > DK
Altair > Liquid
Mario > Falco
Big Boss > Edgeworth
Zidane > Claptrap
Ike > Prinny
Mega Man > Cid H
Zack > Yuna
Ryu H > Crash
Master Chief > Spy
Sora > Midna
Laharl > Neku
Kefka > Arthas
Bowser > Frog
L-Block > HK-47
Isaac > Layton
Charizard > Duke

Kratos > Tails
Samus > PoP
Jill > Niko
Roxas > Heavy
Sub-Zero > Tidus
Jecht > Phoenix Wright
Ratchet > Eddie
Zelda > Travis
Ezio > Simon
Cloud > Ridley
Chris > MacMillan
Riku > Ramza
Falcon > Wander
Leon > Vault Boy
Sackboy > Kratos A
Ryu > Balthier
Dante > Axel
Snake > Proto Man
Fox > Lloyd
Pikachu > Banjo
Shepard > Ellis
Auron > Aeris
Zero > Marcus
Terra > Revan
Squall > Akuma
Sephiroth > Marth
Vincent > Guybrush
Yoshi > Jak
Missingno > Crono
Big Daddy > Soap
Ness > Geno
Tifa > Yuri
Gordon > Peach

Round Two
Link > Alucard
X > Red
Luigi > Amaterasu
Cube > The Boss
Sonic > Knuckles
Ganondorf > Ken
Kirby > GLaDOS
Vivi > Altair
Mario > Big Boss
Ike > Zidane
Mega Man > Zack
Ryu H > Master Chief
Sora > Laharl
Bowser > Kefka
L-Block > Isaac
Charizard > Kratos
Samus > Jill
Sub-Zero > Roxas
Jecht > Ratchet
Zelda > Ezio
Cloud > Chris
Falcon > Riku
Leon > Sackboy
Ryu > Dante
Snake > Fox
Pikachu > Shepard
Auron > Zero
Squall > Terra
Sephiroth > Vincent
Missingno > Yoshi
Big Daddy > Ness
Tifa > Gordon

R3 and following
Link > X
Luigi > Cube
Sonic > Ganondorf
Kirby > Vivi
Mario > Ike
Mega Man > Ryu H
Bowser > Sora
Charizard > L-Block
Samus > Sub-Zero
Zelda > Jecht
Cloud > Falcon
Ryu > Leon
Snake > Pikachu
Squall > Auron
Sephiroth > Missingno
Tifa > Big Daddy
Link > Luigi
Sonic > Kirby
Mario > Mega Man
Charizard > Bowser
Samus > Zelda
Cloud > Ryu
Snake > Squall
Sephiroth > Tifa
Link > Sonic
Mario > Charizard
Cloud > Samus
Snake > Sephiroth
Link > Mario
Cloud > Snake
Link > Cloud

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