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Monday, August 15th, 2005

Ulti's Analysis[]

Poll 2093
Division Chaos Division
Match # 28
Match Date Monday, August 15th, 2005
Vote difference 34,045
Luigi - 56.96%
89 for - 2 against
Luigi - 84.57%
(28,579 brackets)

One day after Tifa goes out and performs well past expectations, Luigi goes out and shows that Tifa might not be a lock to take him down after all. Except that in Luigi's case, he arguably had the quietest overperformance of the entire contest.

2003 stats have KOS-MOS scoring 45.48% on Luigi. 2004 stats have KOS-MOS scoring 49.23%. And between Summer 2004 and Summer 2005, KOS-MOS added Xenosaga II to her library. This caused a few minor debates to float around about KOS-MOS having a shot at winning the match.

So what does Luigi do? Not only does he completely crap all over the KOS-MOS, he completely craps all over the stats. He came out with over 70% of the vote in the match, and even though his percentage leveled off not too far later, he still finished the match close to doubling a character that he was supposed to have a close match with.

Yet because Luigi bombed against Squall in 2003 and Yoshi in 2004 (and plenty of people had high hopes for Luigi in both of these matches), hardly anyone really seemed to care about how well Luigi did due to being done having any faith in the man. Yet to borrow a quote from RPGuy, when Tifa goes and wipes Vyse off the map, it's all Tifa. When Luigi goes and does the same to KOS-MOS, it's all KOS-MOS. Or Luigi's true strength being hidden behind Yoshi/Luigi SFF, or some other excuse to hide the fact that Luigi could have gone up this far. But when the Tifa > Sonic bandwagon starts, everyone breaks their ankles jumping on and off of the damned thing.

Personally, I think this was a combination of KOS-MOS dropping, Luigi joining in on a widespread Nintendo increase, and Luigi being hidden behind SFF against Yoshi last year. This isn't to say that his 2003 match with Squall wasn't proof of how weak Luigi can be or that Luigi was going to beat Tifa, but I took two things from this match. One, Luigi was going to do well against Tifa and expose her for not being as strong as her match with Vyse suggested. Two, this was one of the first true examples we had of what creativename has dubbed The Boost™, or the widespread increase for Nintendo this contest.

Match Trends[]


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2005 Summer Contest Matches

Round One
Mario > Joanna
Ness > CJ
Zero > Ryu H
Lloyd > Wesker
Samus > Yuri
Frog > Riku
Ganondorf > Yuna
Auron > Big Boss
Snake > Manny
Zelda > Vivi
Alucard > Kratos
Sora > Agent 47
Kirby > Cecil
Tidus > King
Bowser > Chun Li

Ryu > Rikku
Master Chief > CATS
Donkey Kong > Sam Fisher
Vercetti > Kefka
Crono > Zidane
Dante > Terra
Vincent > Kerrigan
Knuckles > Magus
Squall > Geno
Sonic > Jin Kazama
Diablo > Kratos Aurion
Tifa > Vyse
Luigi > KOS-MOS
Mega Man > Conker
Leon > Gordon
Yoshi > Laharl
Pac-Man > Ocelot

Round Two
Mario > Ness
Zero > Lloyd
Samus > Frog
Ganondorf > Auron
Snake > Zelda
Sora > Alucard
Kirby > Tidus
Bowser > Ryu
Master Chief > DK
Crono > Vercetti
Vincent > Dante
Squall > Knuckles
Sonic > Diablo
Tifa > Luigi
Mega Man > Leon
Yoshi > Pac-Man

R3 and following
Mario > Zero
Samus > Ganondorf
Snake > Sora
Bowser > Kirby
Crono > Master Chief
Vincent > Squall
Sonic > Tifa
Mega Man > Yoshi
Mario > Samus
Snake > Bowser
Crono > Vincent
Mega Man > Sonic
Mario > Snake
Crono > Mega Man
Mario > Crono (Finals)

Tournament of

Link > Cloud

Sephiroth > Mario

Link > Sephiroth