Results[]
Wednesday, April 1, 2020
Ulti's Analysis[]
| Division | Division 3 |
|---|---|
| Match # | 24 |
| Match Date | Wednesday, April 01, 2020 |
| Oracle Expectations |
Super Mario Odyssey - 77.56% 66 for - 0 against |
| GameFAQs Prediction |
Super Mario Odyssey - 91.57% |
| User Votes |
Super Mario Odyssey - 7951 Mortal Kombat 11 - 1264 |
| Anonymous Votes |
Super Mario Odyssey - 6365 Mortal Kombat 11 - 1108 |
Hey so remember how Smash Ultimate was supposed to waltz to the semifinal and its opening match confirmed it?
NOT SO FAST, MY FRIEND!!
Mario went completely and thoroughly berserk here, and it was a throwback to the early 2000s when Mario was just pasting fools all over the place. He was flirting with 88% at one point, too, but that didn't matter. What mattered here was this blowout being so massive that it had everyone sweating their Smash Ultimate > Odyssey picks, especially the people who took that upset special and backed off.
The reason for that is obvious. There is no planet, none, zero, where Tekken 7 would ever beat Mortal Kombat 11 in a contest match. It simply would not happen. Yet Tekken 7 did 3% better this round.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N9Uw97lOOlk
By the way, Carl Lewis should thank his lucky stars for Fergie. Someone finally did the national anthem worse than he did.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFvvEloObCE
But yeah, Smash looked to be in some serious trouble after round 1. That would not let up in future rounds, either.
Ctes's Analysis[]
Forget about almost everything else, this here is a good contender for weirdest result of the contest. We don’t talk about it a lot, because the match was never in doubt and Super Mario Odyssey was expected to win big, but it has 86%! That’s an insane percentage in any match, but this match has just about no overlap between the games. They’re as different as it gets. Furthermore, while we saw similar percentages elsewhere, that was against games no one knows about. This is against a Mortal Kombat game. Shouldn’t they do a little bit better than this regardless of where the franchise is today? Only a single oracle predicted a better percentage for Odyssey that what it got, and he was in second. This is just beastly beyond sense.
This match began the hype of Odyssey possibly upsetting Ultimate. They faced similar games, but Super Mario Odyssey faced the historically bigger franchise and did better. That opened people’s eyes. Prior to the contest, most people recalled how the Smash Bros game has been better than the Mario game on every single console except for N64 and didn’t think more of it. Let’s break this down for good measure. Super Mario is among the best games on the site and leagues ahead of the original Smash Bros, which isn’t that great a game, but just a tease of the good things to come. Super Mario 64 is in all likelihood better than all Smash Games, but it’s also from a console and time we value higher. Melee are leagues ahead of Super Mario Sunshine, most of which can be credited to the mixed feelings about Sunshine. We can debate forever about how strong the following Smash games are because they’ve become mostly obsolete and we will most likely never see them again. Regardless, at the time of being the most recent game in the franchise, Brawl was way better than Super Mario Galaxy despite the latter being decent, and Smash 4 was way better than 3D World, which we will never see in a contest now that it was excluded from this one. Also, all the Smash games would’ve beaten all the Mario games just mentioned except Super Mario 64.
Odyssey did however have its small amount of support with most of them being among our best experts. A lot of this had to do with speculation and doubt about Ultimate, but it was also that Super Mario Odyssey is most likely the strongest game since Super Mario 64, similar to how Breath of the Wild is since Ocarina of Time. It was completely overshadowed by Breath of the Wild in all Game of the Year polls, but we also saw Super Mario 64 getting murdered by Ocarina of Time in 2004 before coming back to beat Chrono Trigger in 2009 despite another Mario game being in the poll. Fans are extremely passionate about Super Mario Odyssey and it shows. There’s a lot more to say about Ultimate vs. Odyssey in future matches, but it’s hard to argue Super Mario Odyssey did not have the better round 1. When that is said, we also need the friendly reminder of how little worth there is in comparing matches that are blowouts as big as these.
Finally, back to Mortal Kombat 11. What in the world happened here? The x-stats have it at near bottom. The unadjusted stats are obviously worse to it because of the layers of SFF it got buried under, which leaves at it at second to last ahead of only INSIDE, but even being kind in adjustments puts it below every single game we know what is, including disliked stuff such as Dota 2 and Fortnite. It folded so badly. I know that Mortal Kombat is far from what it used to be, but it’s not disliked as severely as this suggests. Did almost everyone just stop caring about it? Super Mario Odyssey is very well respected, it likely has close to no one voting against it because they dislike it, but it appears here that roughly 14% of the site care more about Mortal Kombat than Mario and that every single person that cares about both or neither prefers Mario. This is most likely a case of people taking the contest title into consideration with the forced voting helping too, but regardless, I’ll be scared of picking a Mortal Kombat character to win much in the future if the franchise name couldn’t save it from this enormous embarrassment.
Safer777's Analysis[]
SMO.Hard to judge. It did amazingly well with sales and critical reception but where to put it with the other Mario games on this site on power? Don't know. MK 11 got in but here is the thing. From the 3 main MK games that have come out this decade, this one is the least favorite from the fans of the series. Then how did it got in? Who knows?
So for the match. SMO shattered expectations. Even 80% was considered high and it got over 85%! And yeah MK 11 isn't popular but it is from a series that EVERYONE and their fatality grandmas knows about it. So why? Is SMO that strong? To tell the truth I think yes. Seems that the 1st party Switch games are damn strong. Remember BOTW scored higher than expected too. So yeah. Maybe BOTW can beat OOT and SMO can beat SM64 for the strongest franchise games? I would like to see that to tell the truth. I guess if we have some bonus polls or something it would be nice to see. Oh and we don't care for Fighthing Games here. Except for Smash games. They are fighting games, aren't they?
Tsunami's Analysis[]
While I'd advise against putting too much stock into this result, as the Undertale match raised the total vote count beyond what it had been in previous days, Mortal Kombat has always been a stronger series than Tekken, so for Odyssey to win this decisively was reason to question whether Smash Ultimate was really a lock against Odyssey in Round 4. I've always been of the opinion that there's little to be gleaned from the size of a blowout, however...at least, not for how foddery the loser is. If you get 8% or 12%, there's really not that much difference; it's just a measure of how strong your opponent is. But in that context, from the perspective of who wins those blowouts, it does say something, so Odyssey is probably the favorite right now!