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Spr04b24

Results[]

Poll1624

Monday, April 26th, 2004

Ulti's Analysis[]

Poll 1624
Division Division 32-64
Match # 24
Match Date Monday, April 26th, 2004
Vote difference 69,753
Oracle
Expectations
Ocarina of Time - 89.94%
77 for - 0 against
GameFAQs
Prediction
Ocarina of Time - 96.32%
(39,433 brackets)

Another match featuring a Zelda title, another huge blowout that made it look like Zelda was going to own this contest. And I don't blame people for thinking this, but look deeper into the stats. It especially helps when one notices that the site looked perfectly normal for this matchup, with only one poll on the front page. The same held true for FF7's match against Suikoden II, so the comparisons were easy.

Remember the comparison I made between Sonic 2 and Super Mario World? The same exact thing works here as well. FF7 faced a tougher opponent than Ocarina of Time, yet it managed a higher prediction percentage, more votes, and saw the vote total in its poll go much higher than the total in Ocarina of Time's poll. The only difference is that Suikoden II managed to score 2000 more votes than Fallout 2. Big deal. Suikoden II is a stronger game for a reason. The horribly overhyped FF7/OOT matchup was decided once this poll was over, though watching people continue to make cases for Ocarina of Time with the proof right in front of them was pretty funny to watch.

Not to disrespect either of these two games or anything. Ocarina of Time sold 10 million copies for a reason, and Fallout 2 is quite the amazing PC RPG. But in terms of pure extrapolated strength, Final Fantasy 7 won this contest 24 polls into it.

Match Trends[]

Graph1624

External Links[]

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2004 Spring Contest Matches

Round One
SMB3 > Metal Gear
Metroid > Pac-Man
Contra > Phantasy Star
FF > Pitfall
Donkey Kong > Duck Hunt
Zelda > Adventure
Pong > River City Ransom
Tetris > Galaga
CT > Secret of Mana
SMRPG > Street Fighter II
Sonic 2 > Shining Force
SMW > Simpsons
Zelda: LttP > Gunstar Heroes
Super Metroid > PS IV
Doom > Earthbound

FF VI > Mortal Kombat
FF VII > Suikoden II
Xenogears > Pokemon GSC
FFT > DDR
MGS > RE
SotN > Perfect Dark
Goldeneye > PDS
SM64 > NiGHTS
Zelda: OoT > Fallout 2
Starcraft > Halo
KH > Soul Calibur
Zelda: WW > Skies of Arcadia
Metroid Prime > Half-Life
FFTA > Fire Emblem
FF X > Shenmue
GTA: Vice City > KoTOR
SSBM > MGS 2

Round Two
SMB 3 > Metroid
FF > Contra
Zelda > Donkey Kong
Tetris > Pong
CT > SMRPG
SMW > Sonic 2
Zelda: LttP > Super Metroid
FF VI > Doom
FF VII > Xenogears
MGS > FFT
Goldeneye > SotN
Zelda: OoT > SM64
Starcraft > KH
Zelda: WW > Metroid Prime
FF X > FFTA
SSBM > GTA: Vice City

R3 and following
SMB3 > FF
Zelda > Tetris
CT > SMW
Zelda: LttP > FF VI
FF VII > MGS
Zelda: OoT > Goldeneye
Starcraft > Zelda: WW
SSBM > FF X
SMB3 > Zelda
CT > Zelda: LttP
FF VII > Zelda: OoT
SSBM > Starcraft
CT > SMB3
FF VII > SSBM
FF VII > CT (Finals)

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