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Cb8-110

Results Edit

Poll3839
Thursday, March 11th, 2010


Poll 3839
Round Gear Division Semifinal
Match # 110
Match Date Thursday, March 11th, 2010
Vote difference 2,430
Oracle
Expectations
Squall - 51.83%
71 for - 17 against
GameFAQs
Prediction
Squall - 36.82%

Ulti's AnalysisEdit

In the stats topic, this has been a debated match for years. We always want to see 1v1 matches between near-elites and in this contest we got one of the best. Squall vs Auron has been discussed and dissected every which way for ages, and it's nice we got to see it happen. Need more bracket setups like this.

That said, this probably shouldn't have been all that debated. Look at it just in terms of 1v1s. On pure results, Squall = Vincent > Ganondorf > Auron. No extrapolation needed, we've seen those matches before and Squall/Auron are on opposite ends. There's no real reason to believe anything has changed much since these matches took place, either.

So that leaves Auron's trump card, the win over Sonic in the 4ways. Had Sonic not gotten a mid-contest Brawl announcement in 2007, Squall would have beaten him twice that year. It's not like Auron has something Squall himself couldn't have reproduced. Squall can even counter Auron's random Kingdom Hearts 2 appearance.

It all added up to a close Squall win, which is exactly what we ended up with. Squall took a 100 vote lead in 15 minutes, then spent the next 10 minutes getting rocked before putting the match completely away. The final percentage may be 52-48, but this was one of those never-in-doubt close matches. Barring Final Fantasy X-0 (why doesn't this game exist?), Auron will probably never boost enough independently of Squall to turn this around. Auron's still a near-elite, he's just not at Squall's level. Few people are.

Know what we need? (3)Luigi vs (2)Auron to complete the circle.

Match Trends Edit

Graph3839

External Links Edit

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2010 Contest Matches

Round One
Link > Thrall
Alucard > Magus
Red > Ocelot
X > Price
Luigi > Meta Knight
Amaterasu > Shadow
Cube > Sandal
The Boss > Drake
Sonic > Lightning
Knuckles > Cecil
Ganondorf > Mewtwo
Ken > Wesker
Kirby > Rikku
GLaDOS > Fawful
Vivi > DK
Altair > Liquid
Mario > Falco
Big Boss > Edgeworth
Zidane > Claptrap
Ike > Prinny
Mega Man > Cid H
Zack > Yuna
Ryu H > Crash
Master Chief > Spy
Sora > Midna
Laharl > Neku
Kefka > Arthas
Bowser > Frog
L-Block > HK-47
Isaac > Layton
Charizard > Duke

Kratos > Tails
Samus > PoP
Jill > Niko
Roxas > Heavy
Sub-Zero > Tidus
Jecht > Phoenix Wright
Ratchet > Eddie
Zelda > Travis
Ezio > Simon
Cloud > Ridley
Chris > MacMillan
Riku > Ramza
Falcon > Wander
Leon > Vault Boy
Sackboy > Kratos A
Ryu > Balthier
Dante > Axel
Snake > Proto Man
Fox > Lloyd
Pikachu > Banjo
Shepard > Ellis
Auron > Aeris
Zero > Marcus
Terra > Revan
Squall > Akuma
Sephiroth > Marth
Vincent > Guybrush
Yoshi > Jak
Missingno > Crono
Big Daddy > Soap
Ness > Geno
Tifa > Yuri
Gordon > Peach

Round Two
Link > Alucard
X > Red
Luigi > Amaterasu
Cube > The Boss
Sonic > Knuckles
Ganondorf > Ken
Kirby > GLaDOS
Vivi > Altair
Mario > Big Boss
Ike > Zidane
Mega Man > Zack
Ryu H > Master Chief
Sora > Laharl
Bowser > Kefka
L-Block > Isaac
Charizard > Kratos
Samus > Jill
Sub-Zero > Roxas
Jecht > Ratchet
Zelda > Ezio
Cloud > Chris
Falcon > Riku
Leon > Sackboy
Ryu > Dante
Snake > Fox
Pikachu > Shepard
Auron > Zero
Squall > Terra
Sephiroth > Vincent
Missingno > Yoshi
Big Daddy > Ness
Tifa > Gordon

R3 and following
Link > X
Luigi > Cube
Sonic > Ganondorf
Kirby > Vivi
Mario > Ike
Mega Man > Ryu H
Bowser > Sora
Charizard > L-Block
Samus > Sub-Zero
Zelda > Jecht
Cloud > Falcon
Ryu > Leon
Snake > Pikachu
Squall > Auron
Sephiroth > Missingno
Tifa > Big Daddy
Link > Luigi
Sonic > Kirby
Mario > Mega Man
Charizard > Bowser
Samus > Zelda
Cloud > Ryu
Snake > Squall
Sephiroth > Tifa
Link > Sonic
Mario > Charizard
Cloud > Samus
Snake > Sephiroth
Link > Mario
Cloud > Snake
Link > Cloud

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