Results[]
Sunday, April 5, 2020
Ulti's Analysis[]
| Division | Division 5 |
|---|---|
| Match # | 37 |
| Match Date | Sunday, April 05, 2020 |
| Oracle Expectations |
Fallout: New Vegas - 78.05% 60 for - 0 against |
| GameFAQs Prediction |
Fallout: New Vegas - 91.38% |
| User Votes |
Fallout: New Vegas - 6533 The Stanley Parable - 1665 |
| Anonymous Votes |
Fallout: New Vegas - 5172 The Stanley Parable - 1403 |
Some indie games looked okay this contest. Most did not. The Stanley Parable was one of the many, many, many games in this contest that functioned as early round fodder for the heavy hitters, because the two per series cap meant for some incredibly obscure entrants. I will say though that I looked into every game at least a little bit to prep for these writeups, and The Stanley Parable legitimately looks interesting. The preview makes it look like Portal: The Office Version, and it even looks like it was done in whatever engine Half-Life 2 was made on. I might check it out at some point.
It was also up against Fallout: New Vegas, meaning it had zero chance whatsoever and functioned as a standard happy-to-be-here low seed. If we pretend Octopath Traveler and Mario Kart 8 never happened, and that match against Undertale was a very special case, did you know the lowest seed to win a match in this contest was 10? It's true. Look it up. We only had two major seeding upsets this year.
There was some minor debate surrounding New Vegas vs Dark Souls 3 in round 2, but that was put to bed fairly quickly when the round 1 results came in. New Vegas was the clear favorite, as it should have been. Dark Souls 3 happened long after that series jumped the shark (it came after Bloodborne, which is just the better game in every single possible way, so Dark Souls 3 felt like a step backwards), while New Vegas is often described by Fallout fans as being the real Fallout 4. Those people absolutely loathe Bethesda, Fallout 4, and obviously Fallout 76 -- but New Vegas, they're all in on. It showed with how well it did in this contest.
Ctes's Analysis[]
This is one of the most straight forward matches of the entire round and that says a lot. The Stanley Parable had basically no matches it could win and is just happy to be here. It’s cool that something can go from being a mod in Half-Life 2 to being remade for a release as its own game and get representation in a contest like this. The contest was perfect for shining light on things like that, even though getting blown out in round 1 means we quickly forgot about them again, particularly when there’s eight games up on the game day and just one of the matches is interesting.
Something worth noting about this match is that Fallout: New Vegas also didn’t appear to be much hurt from people thinking less of Bethesda than they used to. It’s hard to make much of it when against something like The Stanley Parable, but it was still good news for the many people taking Skyrim far. Or at the very least it meant no additional reason to worry. However, a bunch of people theorized that New Vegas might simply be immune to a backlash. It’s older and doesn’t have the issues that generally caused the criticism and most importantly it was only published by Bethesda and not actually developed by them. Regardless, it would remain the favorite in its round 2 match, just like it was before the contest.
Safer777's Analysis[]
So another Fallout game here. It is considered the best Fallout game that came out since the reboot in 2008 though and it faced an indie game. SP was amazing with it's clever writing but basically it is a walking simulator. Still it has a hilarious narrator and deserve a playthrough but these kind of games just don't impress me. So yeah.
So for the match. Well I am dissapointed that FNV didn't even managed to break 80% here. And no, don't tell me that SP haw power. Seriously. But maybe I am overthinking this. I mean almost 80% has to be amazing right? Yeah that is probably it. So obviously really easy match to predict and nothing else to say. You can't judge game powers vs weak indie games.
Tsunami's Analysis[]
Having 4 matches per day is great, because it allows the boring Round 1 matches to be cleared out of the way quickly. And this contest had no shortage of those. Through ten days of the contest, there had been a grand total of two lead changes after the freeze. Undertale managed to make it to the freeze with a 5 vote lead and increased it to 7 at the next update before falling behind for good, and Walking Dead came out so on fire that its max recorded lead was before the freeze (64, compared to the 55 it had at the freeze) and managed slight gains over the next two updates before Bastion took the lead for good at the 40-minute mark. That's it. Even Ori and the Blind Forest, which had a smaller maximum lead than Bastion, never trailed. Honestly, in the absence of rallies, we're probably going to see this in every match.
Fallout: New Vegas was considered by many to be a disappointment, yet it was still better than a 3 to 1 favorite among Gurus for Round 2. Given what we'd seen all contest, this was probably cause for concern.