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Monday, July 25th, 2005

Ulti's Analysis[]

Poll 2072
Division Zebes Division
Match # 07
Match Date Monday, July 25th, 2005
Vote difference 23,973
Ganondorf - 64.66%
105 for - 0 against
Ganondorf - 86.55%
(29,248 brackets)

Before anything else, we need to discuss that prediction percentage. If that isn't proof of a Spring 2005 carry-over, I don't know what is. Here we had a first round 3/6 Nintendo/Square match between two strong characters, and Ganon had over 85% of people pick him? People definitely took notice of Ganon breaking 40% on Sephiroth a few months back.

Going into this match, Ganon was a lock to win. However, this wasn't about whether or not Ganon would win; it was about whether or not Ganon could take down Auron. Ganon/Auron was a hyped match thanks to people who didn't feel like buying into the Spring 2005 stats (and because it's SO OBVIOUS that Tidus/Ganon 2003 was Tidus's true strength despite him doing jack squat outside of that one match, I might add; don't you love it when people only take into account a character's best performance?), so Ganon had to go out and prove a point in this match.

Did Ganon wind up proving doubters wrong? Well, that depends. Sure he won the match with ease (and on a side note, TRE pointed out so many examples of blatant cheating coming from Yuna's direction that it got to the level of being downright hilarious; go look at the updater for this match, click on "Time" and see for yourself), but to some, Ganon underperformed. I'd argue that FFX-2 increased Yuna's hypothetical strength, but FFX-2.... isn't well-liked, to say the least. Not too many people want to believe that FFX-2 may have actually produced strong characters, but given what happened in the spring, it's a bit hard to deny. Ganon MAY be overrated a little, but I highly doubt it.

Regardless, plug Yuna into the 2004 stats using this match. You get a value of 26.94%, which isn't as far-fetched as Ganon's doubters would lead you to believe. The catch is that Yuna is pretty close to Tidus after doing that, but given that she's the lead in a recent large-scale Square title, I'm willing to buy it. It's better than assuming that Ganon underperformed for the sake of trying to make a case for Auron beating him, at least.

Match Trends[]


External Links[]

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2005 Summer Contest Matches

Round One
Mario > Joanna
Ness > CJ
Zero > Ryu H
Lloyd > Wesker
Samus > Yuri
Frog > Riku
Ganondorf > Yuna
Auron > Big Boss
Snake > Manny
Zelda > Vivi
Alucard > Kratos
Sora > Agent 47
Kirby > Cecil
Tidus > King
Bowser > Chun Li

Ryu > Rikku
Master Chief > CATS
Donkey Kong > Sam Fisher
Vercetti > Kefka
Crono > Zidane
Dante > Terra
Vincent > Kerrigan
Knuckles > Magus
Squall > Geno
Sonic > Jin Kazama
Diablo > Kratos Aurion
Tifa > Vyse
Luigi > KOS-MOS
Mega Man > Conker
Leon > Gordon
Yoshi > Laharl
Pac-Man > Ocelot

Round Two
Mario > Ness
Zero > Lloyd
Samus > Frog
Ganondorf > Auron
Snake > Zelda
Sora > Alucard
Kirby > Tidus
Bowser > Ryu
Master Chief > DK
Crono > Vercetti
Vincent > Dante
Squall > Knuckles
Sonic > Diablo
Tifa > Luigi
Mega Man > Leon
Yoshi > Pac-Man

R3 and following
Mario > Zero
Samus > Ganondorf
Snake > Sora
Bowser > Kirby
Crono > Master Chief
Vincent > Squall
Sonic > Tifa
Mega Man > Yoshi
Mario > Samus
Snake > Bowser
Crono > Vincent
Mega Man > Sonic
Mario > Snake
Crono > Mega Man
Mario > Crono (Finals)

Tournament of

Link > Cloud

Sephiroth > Mario

Link > Sephiroth