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Thursday, July 21st, 2005

Ulti's Analysis[]

Poll 2068
Division Mushroom Division
Match # 03
Match Date Thursday, July 21st, 2005
Vote difference 23,736
Zero - 67.55%
100 for - 0 against
Zero - 69.09%
(23,348 brackets)

After Ness/CJ got the board into a giant tizzy fit, it was nice to see a predictable, boring match come along to calm everyone down. Zero winning was a foregone conclusion despite Ryu's amazing win against Jill Valentine last year, and mostly everyone knew it.

Except for the casuals, anyway. What in the world do Mega Man characters need to do to get some respect from the bracketmakers in these things? Mega Man and crew are almost always underestimated, regardless of opponent. It's not like Mega Man X isn't the most popular Mega Man series on GameFAQs or anything....

Anyway, while Zero began this match on fire, some would argue that he eventually wound up underperforming in the match. The SFF adjusted 2004 Xsts have Ryu scoring 32.6% on Zero, and as you can see, he scored a very even 37% on him after Zero began the match by whipping Ryu's ass all over the place. There are a couple of arguments to present as the reason behind Ryu doing a tad better than people expected him to. The most popular reason is that Ryu underperformed against Sora last year due to having a horrific picture against him, while Ryu was given his Xbox Ninja Gaiden box art pic against Zero. The other popular reason is that Zero overperformed on Mega Man in 2004 by a percent or two due to rSFF and was a bit overrated in the stats. I don't know how valid that one is, but the MMX series being more popular than the original keeps it within reason.

Of course, most of this barely matters given that Zero arguably had the easiest path to call in the entire contest. He was a lock to win his fourpack, and was a lock to lose to Mario in the divisional finals. That's all there is to it, though the bad part is that for the second year in a row, there would be no real way to tell where Zero stands. It's not like 2004 20XX is worth looking at for reliable stats these days, anyway.

Match Trends[]


External Links[]

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2005 Summer Contest Matches

Round One
Mario > Joanna
Ness > CJ
Zero > Ryu H
Lloyd > Wesker
Samus > Yuri
Frog > Riku
Ganondorf > Yuna
Auron > Big Boss
Snake > Manny
Zelda > Vivi
Alucard > Kratos
Sora > Agent 47
Kirby > Cecil
Tidus > King
Bowser > Chun Li

Ryu > Rikku
Master Chief > CATS
Donkey Kong > Sam Fisher
Vercetti > Kefka
Crono > Zidane
Dante > Terra
Vincent > Kerrigan
Knuckles > Magus
Squall > Geno
Sonic > Jin Kazama
Diablo > Kratos Aurion
Tifa > Vyse
Luigi > KOS-MOS
Mega Man > Conker
Leon > Gordon
Yoshi > Laharl
Pac-Man > Ocelot

Round Two
Mario > Ness
Zero > Lloyd
Samus > Frog
Ganondorf > Auron
Snake > Zelda
Sora > Alucard
Kirby > Tidus
Bowser > Ryu
Master Chief > DK
Crono > Vercetti
Vincent > Dante
Squall > Knuckles
Sonic > Diablo
Tifa > Luigi
Mega Man > Leon
Yoshi > Pac-Man

R3 and following
Mario > Zero
Samus > Ganondorf
Snake > Sora
Bowser > Kirby
Crono > Master Chief
Vincent > Squall
Sonic > Tifa
Mega Man > Yoshi
Mario > Samus
Snake > Bowser
Crono > Vincent
Mega Man > Sonic
Mario > Snake
Crono > Mega Man
Mario > Crono (Finals)

Tournament of

Link > Cloud

Sephiroth > Mario

Link > Sephiroth