Results[]
Saturday, April 4, 2020
Ulti's Analysis[]
| Division | Division 5 |
|---|---|
| Match # | 36 |
| Match Date | Saturday, April 04, 2020 |
| Oracle Expectations |
Super Mario Galaxy 2 - 82.66% 60 for - 0 against |
| GameFAQs Prediction |
Super Mario Galaxy 2 - 95.45% |
| User Votes |
Super Mario Galaxy 2 - 7474 Return of the Obra Dinn - 1049 |
| Anonymous Votes |
Super Mario Galaxy 2 - 5896 Return of the Obra Dinn - 949 |
Can someone explain to me how in the name of all that is good Mario Galaxy 2 only got a 4 seed? The same applies to Obra Dinn, which clearly should have been a 16. This entire match was a mis-seeded bork.
The biggest blowout of an entire contest usually goes to a Nintendo entrant, and this contest was no exception. It was so weird seeing it from a 4 seed, though. There was a small portion of this match where it looked like Mario might flirt with 90%, of all numbers, but he eventually settled at "only" scoring 87. This wasn't a blowout on the same level as what Tanner, AiAi, Cave Story, or Ms. Pac-Man have had to deal with, but it was a legendary blowout nonetheless. So much so that I can update this list!
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/968-west-division-round-1-mega-man-vs-ms-pac-man
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/986-west-division-round-2-mega-man-vs-serious-sam
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/1305-north-division-round-1-link-vs-aiai
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/1606-division-8-round-1-the-legend-of-zelda-vs-adventure
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/1733-20xx-division-round-1-solid-snake-vs-tanner
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/2433-mushroom-division-round-1-super-mario-bros-vs-madden-nfl
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/4085-east-division-round-1-smash-bros-melee-vs-guitar-hero-ii
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/4510-north-division-round-1-mario-vs-bowser-jim-vs-queen-slug-for
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/4526-south-division-round-1-link-vs-ganondorf-arthas-vs-illidan
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/6083-best-game-ever-day-9-zelda-ocarina-of-time-vs-hearthstone
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/6091-best-game-ever-day-11-zelda-a-link-to-the-past-vs-cave-story
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6690-best-year-in-gaming-round-1-day-1-1995-vs-1986
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7296-division-8-round-1-amaterasu-vs-draven
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7950-division-5-round-1-super-mario-galaxy-2-vs-return-of-the
That's one of my favorite lists to keep updating in these PCAs. Watching an insane blowout is almost as fun as watching BAH GAWD IT'S A SLOBBERKNOCKER.
It still meant nothing for the looming Witcher 3 vs Galaxy 2 match, either. Some folks picked Galaxy 2 in "Nintendo always wins" crusade, which I can understand, but what Mario did to Obra Dinn here just isn't comparable to Witcher 3 aethering Assassin's Creed Odyssey. People actually know what Assassin's Creed Odyssey is.
Ctes's Analysis[]
It makes me happy that Super Mario Galaxy 2 would become the game to score the highest percentage in round 1 of the contest and also among the best ever! It speaks volumes about Return of the Obra Dinn, and we’ll get there, but it also says something about the Mario franchise. You basically have to have played and enjoyed Obra Dinn to vote for it here. More than Galaxy 2 even. With the forced voting and with the Game of the Decade title in mind, almost no one will not just vote for one of the most critically acclaimed games of all time. Mario games are perfect at taking advantage of that system and Obra Dinn it not the type of game that stands out among picture of eight games, which might save something like Baba is You from dying as badly as it might have had.
Super Mario Galaxy 2 looks good here, though it’s hard to make much of it when Obra Dinn is easily at the bottom of the games in the bracket. Unfortunately for Galaxy 2, it was in no position to make much use of any gained strength. It was never losing before round 3, and while a few looked at the chance of upsetting The Witcher 3 or just feared a Nintendo game would go berserk in the part of the bracket that had otherwise tried to avoid Nintendo dominance, just like Super Mario RPG did last games contest. At the same time as this match, however, we had The Witcher 3 doing almost as badly on a game people actually know what is. Even with potential SFF in that match, Galaxy 2 did not look to be on that level.
Safer777's Analysis[]
So here is the thing. SMG2 lost on the previous game contest against Mass Effect? I don't believe it. I thought people were made a mistake but no, it is actually true. I don't understand why. Sure ME was more popular back then but the SMG games are so popular with fans and critics. They both have 97% on Metacritic which is amazing for 2 games of the same series. As for ROTOD...It is an indie game and once again I do wonder how it got in, while other games like Pokemon Go didn't.
So for the match. Slaughter of course. Remember when I said that Skyrim of Witcher 3 would reach the final match? After this performance SMG 2 is a contender too. I mean we all knew that it would win but this high? Highest win of the contest too! Yeah it dominated. I know that ROTOD is damn weak but still this is amazing performance. Well we shall see I guess.
Tsunami's Analysis[]
Just when you thought the vote totals couldn't get any worse...
I'm fairly certain that that's a record low for votes in a 1v1 Games or Characters contest, even with the registered voter bonus. The Years Contest had a lot of first-round blowouts where even the raw figures for Return of the Obra Dinn were higher than the loser's vote total, but it's certainly worse than anything else this year or from 2018, including Draven getting hatestomped. Though at least the unregistered voters alone gave it more votes than Chester got in 2013. Honestly once you add in the registered vote bonus this isn't all that far off Chester's total for the end-of-round-1 "Worst of the Worst" bonus match.
It's impossible not to look at the raw totals for this match and not think of the Years Contest, though, because Return of the Obra Dinn literally got 1998 votes before adding in the registered voter bonus.
So now we were left to determine whether 87.25% on Return of the Obra Dinn was as impressive as 84.07% on Assassin's Creed: Odyssey. It doesn't seem like it should be, even if it was the biggest blowout of the contest so far by percentage. The biggest by total votes, though, was Super Mario Odyssey, so Galaxy 2 doing this as well...well, it was easy to think that Mario was just going to be a beast this contest. Hopefully Round 2 would give us a better handle on what to expect for the big SMG2-W3 matchup.
Or, wait, is that even right? That was the foregone conclusion, but I can't help feeling that there's something in the way... After all, SMG2 narrowly lost to Mass Effect 1 in 2015. If The Witcher 3-Super Mario Galaxy 2 is supposed to be a close match, shouldn't Witcher 3 have trouble with ME3?
...Huh. The Witcher 3 did better in defeat than I remembered. Still, it does seem odd that The Witcher 3 is a unanimous Guru pick to reach R3 when the 2015 X-Stats say that it's only expected to beat Mass Effect 3 with 51.74%. What's SMG2's expected percentage against ME3?
...51.58%. Holy crap. The X-Stats have The Witcher 3 winning with just 50.16% of the vote against Super Mario Galaxy 2. There are so many things that can change in five years. And yet Witcher 3 is more than a 5-to-1 favorite on the Guru (along with a sole Guru taking Stardew Valley to upset both of them--one of only three to even take Stardew Valley to upset SMG2.)
Bring it on. (Even though I absolutely hate that I picked a game I hate to go so far.) Love the idea of such a close match.