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Cb8-03

Results[]

Round One

Poll3732

Sunday, January 17th, 2010


Poll 3732
Division Hyrule Division
Match # 03
Match Date Sunday, January 17th, 2010
Vote difference 182
Oracle
Expectations
Pokemon Trainer Red - 52.18%
77 for - 38 against
GameFAQs
Prediction
Pokemon Trainer Red - 51.22%

Ulti's Analysis[]

New characters are the best. A lot of the board, especially the stats topic, was buried in Red hype for months leading up to this match. And because the character is new, there's no evidence to disprove anyone's claims. It's Schrodinger's Verschränkung. Some people had Red challenging Mega Man X in round 2, while others felt Red would be fodder and get crushed by Ocelot with ease. Unfortunately for those who didn't care, there were few people in the middle and the argument wouldn't stop until the match. Ocelot's a big enigma in his own right. Dude beats Jill before MGS4, then loses to her a year later afterwards. Kind of fitting he ends up getting the fewest nominations of anyone not in the vote-ins.

When the match finally began, Red looked like he would cruise to one of those only-close-on-paper wins. He jumped out by 500 through the power hour, and he would eventually get the lead up to 666. Everyone expected the match to be a lot closer than this, but for awhile Ocelot was putting up a real stinker. The other thing everyone expected however was a Pokemon character slowing down at night, especially against something from MGS. The match stalled for a bit after 2 am, but then Ocelot started cutting away. He chipped at the lead for a bit and got it down to 450 over the next couple hours, and then the dead zone kicked in. Ocelot started dominating the dead hours, and erased the entire lead by 6.

It was obvious however Ocelot needed to pad a lead before the kids woke up, and he did so. Over the next three hours, he built up a lead of nearly 400 votes. This actually lasted until 9 am, so it looked like Ocelot was in the clear and had avoided the worst. Usually, the BSV starts around 7. Inexplicably, Red failed to win the morning vote, and even come 9 he was only able to get in some minor stalls. Come 10, the lead was still over 300 votes.

But then, the perfect storm. Metal Gear Solid is routinely awful during the day, and Pokemon is almost always great during the day. Add all this up, and you get Red erasing 320 votes in 80 minutes, then sprinting to the finish line with a win before anyone could figure out what happened. Red did catch the morning vote and run away with it, it just came a few hours later than expected. People didn't know it yet, but this was how Pokemon would be in the Winter 2010 Contest.

This match confirmed two things: Pokemon is no joke, and Ocelot is not trustworthy. If this were a full 24 hour match, Ocelot would have gotten his doors blown off.

Match Trends[]

Graph3732

External Links[]

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2010 Contest Matches

Round One
Link > Thrall
Alucard > Magus
Red > Ocelot
X > Price
Luigi > Meta Knight
Amaterasu > Shadow
Cube > Sandal
The Boss > Drake
Sonic > Lightning
Knuckles > Cecil
Ganondorf > Mewtwo
Ken > Wesker
Kirby > Rikku
GLaDOS > Fawful
Vivi > DK
Altair > Liquid
Mario > Falco
Big Boss > Edgeworth
Zidane > Claptrap
Ike > Prinny
Mega Man > Cid H
Zack > Yuna
Ryu H > Crash
Master Chief > Spy
Sora > Midna
Laharl > Neku
Kefka > Arthas
Bowser > Frog
L-Block > HK-47
Isaac > Layton
Charizard > Duke

Kratos > Tails
Samus > PoP
Jill > Niko
Roxas > Heavy
Sub-Zero > Tidus
Jecht > Phoenix Wright
Ratchet > Eddie
Zelda > Travis
Ezio > Simon
Cloud > Ridley
Chris > MacMillan
Riku > Ramza
Falcon > Wander
Leon > Vault Boy
Sackboy > Kratos A
Ryu > Balthier
Dante > Axel
Snake > Proto Man
Fox > Lloyd
Pikachu > Banjo
Shepard > Ellis
Auron > Aeris
Zero > Marcus
Terra > Revan
Squall > Akuma
Sephiroth > Marth
Vincent > Guybrush
Yoshi > Jak
Missingno > Crono
Big Daddy > Soap
Ness > Geno
Tifa > Yuri
Gordon > Peach

Round Two
Link > Alucard
X > Red
Luigi > Amaterasu
Cube > The Boss
Sonic > Knuckles
Ganondorf > Ken
Kirby > GLaDOS
Vivi > Altair
Mario > Big Boss
Ike > Zidane
Mega Man > Zack
Ryu H > Master Chief
Sora > Laharl
Bowser > Kefka
L-Block > Isaac
Charizard > Kratos
Samus > Jill
Sub-Zero > Roxas
Jecht > Ratchet
Zelda > Ezio
Cloud > Chris
Falcon > Riku
Leon > Sackboy
Ryu > Dante
Snake > Fox
Pikachu > Shepard
Auron > Zero
Squall > Terra
Sephiroth > Vincent
Missingno > Yoshi
Big Daddy > Ness
Tifa > Gordon

R3 and following
Link > X
Luigi > Cube
Sonic > Ganondorf
Kirby > Vivi
Mario > Ike
Mega Man > Ryu H
Bowser > Sora
Charizard > L-Block
Samus > Sub-Zero
Zelda > Jecht
Cloud > Falcon
Ryu > Leon
Snake > Pikachu
Squall > Auron
Sephiroth > Missingno
Tifa > Big Daddy
Link > Luigi
Sonic > Kirby
Mario > Mega Man
Charizard > Bowser
Samus > Zelda
Cloud > Ryu
Snake > Squall
Sephiroth > Tifa
Link > Sonic
Mario > Charizard
Cloud > Samus
Snake > Sephiroth
Link > Mario
Cloud > Snake
Link > Cloud

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