Results[]
Saturday, April 4, 2020
Ulti's Analysis[]
| Division | Division 5 |
|---|---|
| Match # | 35 |
| Match Date | Saturday, April 04, 2020 |
| Oracle Expectations |
Stardew Valley - 65.62% 57 for - 3 against |
| GameFAQs Prediction |
Stardew Valley - 68.26% |
| User Votes |
Stardew Valley - 6123 Destiny - 2400 |
| Anonymous Votes |
Stardew Valley - 4752 Destiny - 2092 |
Some indie games looked okay in this contest. Most did not. Stardew Valley, however, arguably looked better than any other indie game in all of round one. If I'm not mistaken, it scored the biggest blowout of all the round one indie performances, which is rather impressive given all the fodder in this field. I get that its opponent was Destiny, which is quite possibly the most hated game in the history of this web site, but still. An indie title going 71-29 over a AAA main line game is a crazy result, no matter what the big name game is. This was reminiscent of Florida Gulf Coast destroying Georgetown. The game was as unknown as could be when it first came out, but now look at it.
Personally I think Stardew Valley is garbage and I couldn't wait for Mario Galaxy 2 to rip it in half, but I can still respect the hustle. I also think Destiny is even more garbage, so it's not like the wrong game won.
For anyone who cares, I don't like these games like Stardew Valley, Animal Crossing, Harvest Moon, The Sims, Sim City, Minecraft, et al where there is no goal besides farm, craft, build, repeat. Farm, craft, build, repeat. Farm, craft, build, repeat. These are the kinds of games non-gamers play, and they barely count as video games.
Still better than Destiny, though!
Ctes's Analysis[]
This match went as basically every one of us expected it to, but it was still able to fuel the indie fear since Stardew Valley did better than most people expected it to do. In that regard, Destiny is the perfect opponent. It’s bad and it was also in the previous contest where it was killed by Starcraft worse than it got killed today. If you expect some kind of SFF in that match, then Stardew Valley looks really good here. Not that in would matter much because Stardew Valley was never going to beat Super Mario Galaxy 2 regardless of how well it did this match.
Destiny has every reason to decline, of course. Our site has never been too huge on multiplayer games like this one but even less than we used to. Five years is a lot of time. You should expect things to change quite a bit between then and now. It makes it harder to compare and to predict, which has its ups and down for contest nerds. It’s easy to see how much things can change in that time by looking at the character battles of 2002 and 2007. Or looked at 2004 and 2005 and see how much one year can do. If you’re declining by each passing day, then five years can make you decline a lot.
Not to take any credit from Stardew Valley. It looks good here, and it’s probably one of the actual strongest indie games with the exposure and popularity it has had. It just wasn’t in any position to take advantage of it itself. On the other side of contest, however, I think it’s pretty clear that the main reason Stardew Valley went over 70% was Destiny and not itself.
It’s a shame we have so many fewer brackets these days. Almost everyone that makes one has some contest knowledge. I don’t think there’s much of a chance that Sardew Valley would be the favorite with the activity in these we had a decade ago. On Board 8 it would, of course, but this is a clear casual trap.
Safer777's Analysis[]
So we have another indie game here. But this indie game has one of the biggest communities ever. The game is just a slice of life game. So many things to do and there are like a million mods for it. It is basically like an animal crossing game. Meaning there isn't a single goal or a big bad or something. You just play, relax, and have fun. And do things at your own pace too. So really good game and so many people like it. On the other hand we have Destiny. Seriously. Who keeps nominating Destiny and its characters? Yeah we had a Destiny character on the previous Characters Contest too. So nothing bad nominating characters and games you like BUT even the people that play Destiny don't like like it much! At least when it first came out. So yeah who exactly nominated it? Was it a trollish attempt or something? I just don't get it.
So for the match. Well we have an indie game that is beloved against a game that almost nobody likes. So what did you expected? SV dominated. So people stop nominating bad games/ characters. At least the other games we have seen so far had something going on for them. Destiny has nothing. Let it go. Just let it go!
Tsunami's Analysis[]
Another match that everyone seemed to know the winner, but no one really felt comfortable about it. Stardew Valley was yet another indie game, and even though it is technically an RPG, the game series it's most commonly compared to is Harvest Moon. Actual Harvest Moon, not its RPG spinoff Rune Factory. Destiny, however, is neither Japanese nor an RPG. It is in fact made by Bungie, best known for notorious contest disappointment Halo. Destiny had been in a contest before, in 2015, where it lost in Round 1 getting 25.51% on...StarCraft. (Oracle expectation: 39.85%) Well, that certainly provides a good comparison for Round 3! Based on the 2015 X-Stats, however they were calculated, ME3 would be expected to get 76.02% on Destiny. Stardew Valley got 71.17%. So that comes out to...Stardew Valley being worth 48.35% on ME3? That seems awfully strange, but okay!
(Far more likely that Destiny has fallen off a lot more than ME3 has; I wouldn't even really be surprised if ME3 had been vindicated by time somewhat, either because those who didn't get it right away only know the revised version or because the even more hated Mass Effect: Andromeda has lessened the hatred towards 3.)