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Wednesday, September 8th, 2004

Ulti's Analysis[]

Poll 1755
Division 20XX Division
Match # 38
Match Date Wednesday, September 8th, 2004
Vote difference 19,100
Zero - 62.48%
57 for - 0 against
Zero - 31.57%
(10,488 brackets)

This was one of the single most boring matches in the contest by far. Everyone knew that Zero would win (on the board, at least), and Zero wound up doing almost as expected in the match. As such, I'll just touch on the couple of random other thiings about the match.

First and foremost, what the hell is up with this prediction percentage? 20XX was a division specifically designed to give us Mega Man vs Zero (and Zero vs Protoman, come to think of it), in case you couldn't notice. Did anyone see how well Zero did last year? Who was going to beat him? Protoman? Vercetti? MAX PAYNE? Of all the "bracket busters" we have seen, a prediction percentage this low for Zero is borderline stupid. The only thing I can think of is that Max Payne and Vercetti are characters that are well-known among mainstream gamers, whereas the Mega Man X series isn't exactly the most well-known series out there. When most people think Mega Man, they think the original series, not the 2.8 million spinoffs.

Secondly, take a quick look at all of Vercetti's matches. He is a horrible draw, which very well could have been a big part of the reason Zero only did as expected in the match. This is only speculation, but what else is there to talk about in such a boring match.

Finally, this match set up the blatantly obvious Mega Man vs Zero duel that would decide the true ruler of the 20XX division. Joy.

Match Trends[]


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2004 Summer Contest Matches

Round One
Link > CATS
Ganondorf > Alucard
Yoshi > Ryo Hazuki
Luigi > Pac-Man
Magus > Luca Blight
Crono > Conker
Bowser > Guybrush
Mario > JC Denton
Mega Man > Earthworm Jim
Tidus > Shadow
Vercetti > Max Payne
Zero > Protoman
Frog > Liquid
Master Chief > Crash
Knuckles > Kefka

Snake > Tanner
Cloud > Duke
Vyse > Laharl
Kirby > Kain
Squall > Bomberman
Ness > Jak
Auron > Scorpion
Vivi > Donkey Kong
Sephiroth > Sly Cooper
Sonic > Terry Bogard
Tails > VJ
Dante > Ratchet
Sora > HK-47
Ryu H > Jill
Sam Fisher > Gordon
Samus > Lara

Round Two
Link > Ganondorf
Yoshi > Luigi
Crono > Magus
Mario > Bowser
Mega Man > Tidus
Zero > Vercetti
Frog > Master Chief
Snake > Knuckles
Cloud > Vyse
Squall > Kirby
Auron > Ness
Sephiroth > Vivi
Sonic > Ryu
Dante > Tails
Sora > Ryu H
Samus > Sam Fisher

R3 and following
Link > Yoshi
Crono > Mario
Mega Man > Zero
Snake > Frog
Cloud > Squall
Sephiroth > Auron
Sonic > Dante
Samus > Sora
Link > Crono
Mega Man > Snake
Cloud > Sephiroth
Samus > Sonic
Link > Mega Man
Cloud > Samus
Link > Cloud (Finals)