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Cb8-06

Results Edit

Round One

Poll3735

Monday, January 18th, 2010


Poll 3734
Division Hyrule Division
Match # 06
Match Date Monday, January 18th, 2010
Vote difference 4,142
Oracle
Expectations
Amaterasu - 46.93%
38 for - 77 against
GameFAQs
Prediction
Amaterasu - 36.27%

Ulti's AnalysisEdit

I think this sums it up well enough:

From: CrocNRoll | Posted: 1/18/2010 2:30:00 PM | #273 From how the contest is going, the match picture might as well look like this:

Notshadow

This was a debate very similar to Alucard vs Magus, with a lot of people picking Shadow on psychological barrier alone. For whatever reason, people still can't get past the 2003 Mario/Shadow match being an absolute fluke. What you're left with since is a character falling more and more off the map every year, against a character in Amaterasu who very easily passes the eye test. In all her contest appearances, including this one, she outperforms expectations.

And to go a bit deeper on Shadow, throw out the fluke match and look at everything else:

2003: Beat Wario.
2004: Lost to Tidus.
2005: Doesn't get in.
2006: Doesn't get in.
2007 R1: Distant second place against Auron, pre-RE5 Chris Redfield and Pyramid Head.
2007 R2: Distant last place against Auron, Ryu and Bowser.
2008: Third place against Link, Luke von Fabre and Zidane.

There is nothing in there to inspire any confidence at all, and Shadow went out against Amaterasu and further cemented his status as a choke artist. Amaterasu went out and won fairly easily, in a match that only looks close on paper. The lead was 1000 within 2 hours, and Shadow didn't win a single update until 3 hours in. Not that it mattered, since this was a boat race. Most impressive is Amaterasu did this during a day match, where Sonic Team tends to be at its best. Remember, it was a massive ASV that allowed Sonic to pull off that huge comeback against Crono.

This match began the massive anti-Sonic hype this contest, and it wasn't until future results started rolling in did people look back and acknowledge Sonic Team as not being that bad. They're not at their god-awful 2008 4way levels, but they’re not threatening Samus either. Somewhere in the middle. To be fair, Shadow isn't altogether bad in these things, and is probably a victim of simple bad luck. But if he wants to get some respect, he needs to start turning these close losses into close wins.

And I have just the cure for that! Winter 2011: (8)Magus vs (9)Shadow the Hedgehog.

Match Trends Edit

Graph3735

External Links Edit

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2010 Contest Matches

Round One
Link > Thrall
Alucard > Magus
Red > Ocelot
X > Price
Luigi > Meta Knight
Amaterasu > Shadow
Cube > Sandal
The Boss > Drake
Sonic > Lightning
Knuckles > Cecil
Ganondorf > Mewtwo
Ken > Wesker
Kirby > Rikku
GLaDOS > Fawful
Vivi > DK
Altair > Liquid
Mario > Falco
Big Boss > Edgeworth
Zidane > Claptrap
Ike > Prinny
Mega Man > Cid H
Zack > Yuna
Ryu H > Crash
Master Chief > Spy
Sora > Midna
Laharl > Neku
Kefka > Arthas
Bowser > Frog
L-Block > HK-47
Isaac > Layton
Charizard > Duke

Kratos > Tails
Samus > PoP
Jill > Niko
Roxas > Heavy
Sub-Zero > Tidus
Jecht > Phoenix Wright
Ratchet > Eddie
Zelda > Travis
Ezio > Simon
Cloud > Ridley
Chris > MacMillan
Riku > Ramza
Falcon > Wander
Leon > Vault Boy
Sackboy > Kratos A
Ryu > Balthier
Dante > Axel
Snake > Proto Man
Fox > Lloyd
Pikachu > Banjo
Shepard > Ellis
Auron > Aeris
Zero > Marcus
Terra > Revan
Squall > Akuma
Sephiroth > Marth
Vincent > Guybrush
Yoshi > Jak
Missingno > Crono
Big Daddy > Soap
Ness > Geno
Tifa > Yuri
Gordon > Peach

Round Two
Link > Alucard
X > Red
Luigi > Amaterasu
Cube > The Boss
Sonic > Knuckles
Ganondorf > Ken
Kirby > GLaDOS
Vivi > Altair
Mario > Big Boss
Ike > Zidane
Mega Man > Zack
Ryu H > Master Chief
Sora > Laharl
Bowser > Kefka
L-Block > Isaac
Charizard > Kratos
Samus > Jill
Sub-Zero > Roxas
Jecht > Ratchet
Zelda > Ezio
Cloud > Chris
Falcon > Riku
Leon > Sackboy
Ryu > Dante
Snake > Fox
Pikachu > Shepard
Auron > Zero
Squall > Terra
Sephiroth > Vincent
Missingno > Yoshi
Big Daddy > Ness
Tifa > Gordon

R3 and following
Link > X
Luigi > Cube
Sonic > Ganondorf
Kirby > Vivi
Mario > Ike
Mega Man > Ryu H
Bowser > Sora
Charizard > L-Block
Samus > Sub-Zero
Zelda > Jecht
Cloud > Falcon
Ryu > Leon
Snake > Pikachu
Squall > Auron
Sephiroth > Missingno
Tifa > Big Daddy
Link > Luigi
Sonic > Kirby
Mario > Mega Man
Charizard > Bowser
Samus > Zelda
Cloud > Ryu
Snake > Squall
Sephiroth > Tifa
Link > Sonic
Mario > Charizard
Cloud > Samus
Snake > Sephiroth
Link > Mario
Cloud > Snake
Link > Cloud

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