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Sum04b43

Results[]

Poll1760

Monday, September 13th, 2004

Ulti's Analysis[]

Poll 1760
Division Midgar Division
Match # 43
Match Date Monday, September 13th, 2004
Vote difference 24,796
Oracle
Expectations
Auron - 71.88%
55 for - 0 against
GameFAQs
Prediction
Auron - 54.43%
(18,082 brackets)

Another day, another horribly predictable match in the Midgar division. Ness was fresh off of a heated victory against Jak, while Auron was coming off of a killing against Scorpion.

So what do they turn around and do? Ness winds up doing far better than his 26.87% projection. But like the Squall/Kirby match, this meant nothing. We had no way of verifying the strength or weakness of either character, simply because of how the Midgar division was set up. Auron winning this match was a virtual guarantee, but thanks to Auron/Sephiroth being set up from the start, we had no clue what to make of this match.

The logical explanation, of course, is that Ness went up due to unaccounted Bowser/Ness SFF in the 2003 Xsts. Maybe he truly was stronger than many of us thought, but how do you explain Auron overperforming so much against Scorpion? It really sucks that the bracket was set up the way it was, because there was no way to verify the strength of many of these characters after such odd matches. This match was another example.

Match Trends[]

Graph1760

External Links[]

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2004 Summer Contest Matches

Round One
Link > CATS
Ganondorf > Alucard
Yoshi > Ryo Hazuki
Luigi > Pac-Man
Magus > Luca Blight
Crono > Conker
Bowser > Guybrush
Mario > JC Denton
Mega Man > Earthworm Jim
Tidus > Shadow
Vercetti > Max Payne
Zero > Protoman
Frog > Liquid
Master Chief > Crash
Knuckles > Kefka

Snake > Tanner
Cloud > Duke
Vyse > Laharl
Kirby > Kain
Squall > Bomberman
Ness > Jak
Auron > Scorpion
Vivi > Donkey Kong
Sephiroth > Sly Cooper
Sonic > Terry Bogard
Ryu > KOS-MOS
Tails > VJ
Dante > Ratchet
Sora > HK-47
Ryu H > Jill
Sam Fisher > Gordon
Samus > Lara

Round Two
Link > Ganondorf
Yoshi > Luigi
Crono > Magus
Mario > Bowser
Mega Man > Tidus
Zero > Vercetti
Frog > Master Chief
Snake > Knuckles
Cloud > Vyse
Squall > Kirby
Auron > Ness
Sephiroth > Vivi
Sonic > Ryu
Dante > Tails
Sora > Ryu H
Samus > Sam Fisher

R3 and following
Link > Yoshi
Crono > Mario
Mega Man > Zero
Snake > Frog
Cloud > Squall
Sephiroth > Auron
Sonic > Dante
Samus > Sora
Link > Crono
Mega Man > Snake
Cloud > Sephiroth
Samus > Sonic
Link > Mega Man
Cloud > Samus
Link > Cloud (Finals)

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