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Saturday, August 7th, 2004

Ulti's Analysis[]

Poll 1724
Division Hyrule Division
Match # 07
Match Date Saturday, August 7th, 2004
Vote difference 49,079
Bowser - 82.53%
89 for - 0 against
Bowser - 95.00%
(31,560 brackets)

I'm obviously not the biggest fan of characters like Ryo Hazuki or Conker in the contest, but I can at least understand why they get into it in the first place. Guybrush Threepwood, on the other hand, remains a mystery to me. He went from being tripled by Ryo Hazuki in 2002, to not appearing in the next two contests, to all of a sudden making the field this year. And not only that, but he made the field as a 10 seed. Take a good look at all of the characters that Guybrush outseeded this year. Do you actually think he could beat a good number of them?

If you ask me, Guybrush's seeding was another prime example of rigging the bracket so that we would see "interesting" company vs company matchups in the second round. Guybrush is clearly overseeded here, but that's okay; he's facing off against a vastly underseeded Bowser. Bowser should be a 4 seed at best, and a 5 seed at worst. Instead, we have a bracket in which Bowser is knocked down a couple of spots so that we may see Bowser vs Mario in the second round?

For what? We already know for a fact that Mario would kill Bowser in a poll, so why have the match? Unfortunately, at the expense of unpredictability, we had to sit through another boring match specifically designed to set up another boring match. The idea of setting up Bowser vs Mario looks good on paper, but in reality, we should be seeing a 4-5 matchup between Bowser and Squall.

The funniest thing of all about this match is that because Guybrush sucked so much in 2002, a lot of us were expecting this match to be far worse on Guybrush than it actually was. 17.01% is a blowout in its own right, but considering some of the predictions that were being thrown around, you could almost make the case that Guybrush did better than expected. Almost.

When it was all said and done, both characters fulfilled their roles in proper fashion. Guybrush was supposed to be BowserFodder from the start, and this was to set Bowser up to be MarioFodder in round two. Just another example of a good character getting the short end of things for favor of CJayC's idea of a "stacked bracket", I suppose.

Match Trends[]


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2004 Summer Contest Matches

Round One
Link > CATS
Ganondorf > Alucard
Yoshi > Ryo Hazuki
Luigi > Pac-Man
Magus > Luca Blight
Crono > Conker
Bowser > Guybrush
Mario > JC Denton
Mega Man > Earthworm Jim
Tidus > Shadow
Vercetti > Max Payne
Zero > Protoman
Frog > Liquid
Master Chief > Crash
Knuckles > Kefka

Snake > Tanner
Cloud > Duke
Vyse > Laharl
Kirby > Kain
Squall > Bomberman
Ness > Jak
Auron > Scorpion
Vivi > Donkey Kong
Sephiroth > Sly Cooper
Sonic > Terry Bogard
Tails > VJ
Dante > Ratchet
Sora > HK-47
Ryu H > Jill
Sam Fisher > Gordon
Samus > Lara

Round Two
Link > Ganondorf
Yoshi > Luigi
Crono > Magus
Mario > Bowser
Mega Man > Tidus
Zero > Vercetti
Frog > Master Chief
Snake > Knuckles
Cloud > Vyse
Squall > Kirby
Auron > Ness
Sephiroth > Vivi
Sonic > Ryu
Dante > Tails
Sora > Ryu H
Samus > Sam Fisher

R3 and following
Link > Yoshi
Crono > Mario
Mega Man > Zero
Snake > Frog
Cloud > Squall
Sephiroth > Auron
Sonic > Dante
Samus > Sora
Link > Crono
Mega Man > Snake
Cloud > Sephiroth
Samus > Sonic
Link > Mega Man
Cloud > Samus
Link > Cloud (Finals)