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Sum02b36

Results[]

Poll975

Monday, August 5th, 2002

Ulti's Analysis[]

Poll 975
Division North Division
Match # 36
Match Date Monday, August 5th, 2002
Vote difference 44,481
GameFAQs
Prediction
Cloud - 69.51%
(11,653 brackets)

If sales directly translated to GF popularity, Pikachu would have won this match with ease; unfortunately, sales mean little to GF users. We are a very set bunch in terms of who we like, and in this particular 2002 matchup, we proved just how much sales actually matter. Pikachu, star of the second best selling series ever, was flat-out annihilated by Cloud. Not only did Cloud almost break 80%, but he did so in the second round. Nearly breaking 80% on a character who had already won a match was obscene, at least at the time.

After comparing Mario and Cloud's matches, it seemed that Mario was in a bit of trouble. While Mario struggled to double a fighting game character, Cloud nearly broke 80% on Pikachu. And while it may be somewhat difficult to imagine Mario scoring 80% on Pikachu, it's hard to imagine Cloud not doing better than Mario did against Morrigan Aensland.

But aside from this (which was blatantly obvious), the one thing that stands out from this match is Solarshadow's test. I can't find the damned thing, but I'm sure some random stat freak has it archived somewhere. Anyway, Solarshadow tracked how well Cloud did through the day in this match. What he discovered is that Cloud was at his peak in the early voting, as well as the evening. Whether or not this would translate into a trend or not remained to be seen; remember, we didn't have a Poll Updater or update topics back in 2002.

Match Updates[]

The solarshadow update page Ulti was talking about can be found at http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/distribution.html. Here's the graph from that page, which covers how many votes per minute each character was pulling in during every point in the day, and also how many total votes per minute were being cast.

Graph975

External Links[]

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2002 Contest Matches

Round One
Mario > Servbot
Morrigan > Spyro
Aya > Terry Bogard
Donkey Kong > Bub
Alucard > Tails
Duke > Iori
Pikachu > PaRappa
Cloud > Fox
Lara > Chop Chop
Ryo Hazuki > Guybrush
Crono > Simon
Dante > Q*Bert
Aeris > Kasumi
Tina > Gordon
Knuckles > Akira

Snake > Squall
Pac-Man > Goemon
Kyo > Abe
Scorpion > Kazuya
Max Payne > Dirk
Bomberman > Kane
Jill > Kirby
Strider > Raziel
Link > Little Mac
Sonic > Pitfall Harry
Tidus > Claire
Samus > Ken
Ryu > CATS
Mega Man > Ms. Pac-Man
Serious Sam > Mr. Driller
Sephiroth > Gabe
Crash > Ulala

Round Two
Mario > Morrigan
Donkey Kong > Aya
Alucard > Duke
Cloud > Pikachu
Lara > Ryo Hazuki
Crono > Dante
Aeris > Tina
Snake > Knuckles
Pac-Man > Kyo
Scorpion > Max Payne
Jill > Bomberman
Link > Strider
Sonic > Tidus
Samus > Ryu
Mega Man > Serious Sam
Sephiroth > Crash

R3 and following
Mario > Donkey Kong
Cloud > Alucard
Crono > Lara
Snake > Aeris
Scorpion > Pac-Man
Link > Jill
Samus > Sonic
Sephiroth > Mega Man
Mario > Cloud
Crono > Snake
Link > Scorpion
Sephiroth > Samus
Mario > Crono
Link > Sephiroth
Link > Mario (Finals)

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