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Tuesday, May 18th, 2004

Ulti's Analysis[]

Poll 1644
Division Division 32-64
Match # 44
Match Date Tuesday, May 18th, 2004
Vote difference 41,367
Ocarina of Time - 67.59%
60 for - 0 against
Ocarina of Time - 81.93%
(33,542 brackets)

For the most part, I bash people when the prediction percentage is a bit low. I mean if this were Mario vs Link in the second round, no way in hell do you see a mere 81.93% of brackets picking Link. But in this case, I understand. Super Mario 64 was one of the most revolutionary and best titles ever to hit the market. For the most part, I feel that 3D gaming sucked before Mario 64, if it even existed at all. But after this absolute gem, look how far we've come. It's for good reason too. For those who have never played Super Mario 64, you are missing a masterpiece. It's right up there with Super Mario 3 when it comes to a fun, replayable title. Getting all 120 stars is a fun challenge, and the bosses in the game are varied enough so that you're not doing the same thing over and over again. The exception is Bowser of course, but we'll ignore the big turtle ~_^ Overall, it's a fun game with a million things to do, and a replay value that had people doing those things over and over again for years. Come to think of it, we're still doing them. The N64 had a knack for releasing timeless titles, didn't it?

But in the end, we have another legendary game getting a beating at the hands of the Zelda title from its same genration. We all knew that Zelda would win this thing, but a 76-24 beating? That's insane. Even worse is that the picture of Link for this match had Link wearing two different boots. I mean honestly, what the hell was that? With all the pictures of Adult Link out there, we had to pick a stoned Link wearing two different boots?

As if the beatings Zelda laid on Donkey Kong and Super Metroid weren't enough, this match had to open your eyes to the possibility that Zelda could very well own this contest. Many people were complaining of the bore of an all-Zelda Final Four after Super Metroid's beating, but after this match, they were trying to figure out the percentages that were going to be seen in the matches. Zelda was looking that good in this contest, 7-0 and counting, and showed no signs of slowing down at all. All this division was about was how well Final Fantasy 7 and Ocarina of Time stacked up to one another.

And what's this? Why, its a hope for Ocarina of Time to actually win! Both Final Fantasy 7 and Ocarina of Time had matches riddled with SFF in the second round, but look at how they went down:

  • Final Fantasy 7's total against Xenogears: 57876
  • Ocarina of Time's total against Super Mario 64: 60064
  • Total votes in poll 1641: 72321
  • Total votes in poll 1644: 78761

Now Super Mario 64 is most definitely a stronger opponent than Xenogears. That much we know. But than that strength alone attribute to 6440 more total votes? Possibly, but look at the individual votes. Against a stronger opponent, Ocarina of Time scored 2188 more votes. If Final Fantasy 7 was up against a weaker opponent, shouldn't it have trumped Ocarina's vote total in this round? Looks like we had a contest on our hands again.

And yes, I was leading somewhere when I said OOT clearly had no chance after round one. It's called drama, people.

Match Trends[]


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2004 Spring Contest Matches

Round One
SMB3 > Metal Gear
Metroid > Pac-Man
Contra > Phantasy Star
FF > Pitfall
Donkey Kong > Duck Hunt
Zelda > Adventure
Pong > River City Ransom
Tetris > Galaga
CT > Secret of Mana
SMRPG > Street Fighter II
Sonic 2 > Shining Force
SMW > Simpsons
Zelda: LttP > Gunstar Heroes
Super Metroid > PS IV
Doom > Earthbound

FF VI > Mortal Kombat
FF VII > Suikoden II
Xenogears > Pokemon GSC
SotN > Perfect Dark
Goldeneye > PDS
Zelda: OoT > Fallout 2
Starcraft > Halo
KH > Soul Calibur
Zelda: WW > Skies of Arcadia
Metroid Prime > Half-Life
FFTA > Fire Emblem
FF X > Shenmue
GTA: Vice City > KoTOR

Round Two
SMB 3 > Metroid
FF > Contra
Zelda > Donkey Kong
Tetris > Pong
SMW > Sonic 2
Zelda: LttP > Super Metroid
FF VI > Doom
FF VII > Xenogears
Goldeneye > SotN
Zelda: OoT > SM64
Starcraft > KH
Zelda: WW > Metroid Prime
SSBM > GTA: Vice City

R3 and following
Zelda > Tetris
Zelda: LttP > FF VI
Zelda: OoT > Goldeneye
Starcraft > Zelda: WW
SMB3 > Zelda
CT > Zelda: LttP
FF VII > Zelda: OoT
SSBM > Starcraft
FF VII > CT (Finals)