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Cb6-22

Results[]

Round One

Poll2884

Monday, September 24th, 2007

Ulti's Analysis[]

Poll 2884
Division 6
Match # 22
Match Date Monday, September 24th, 2007
Oracle
Expectations
Balthier - 36.05%
Ada Wong - 27.23%
Frank West - 21.21%
Jade Curtiss - 15.34%
GameFAQs
Expectations
Ada first place (2pts) - 57.51%
Ada second place (1pt) - 19.75%
Balthier second place (2pts) - 22.20%
Balthier first place (1pt) - 26.31%
Advancing
Prediction
Ada - 77.26% (28,373)
Balthier - 48.51% (17,815)

Back in the Summer 2007 Contest, Twilight Princess and Final Fantasy 12 were arguably the two most hyped games, leading to Midna and Balthier being the two most hyped characters. FF12 and TP were our top two games in 2006, after all.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ytCEuuW2_A

Midna already crapped the bed, but that could be blamed on Scorpion being strong. Balthier following suit was just pathetic. Jade and Frank West were never going to do anything in this poll, and Jade especially was so bad here that he's listed among the weakest contest characters ever. Look at this crap:

Jade Curtiss 47.06% 38,685
Mr. Driller 52.94% 43,521
TOTAL VOTES 82,205

Mr. Driller wins with 52.94% of the vote!

So this was basically supposed to be Balthier getting an easy first place while Ada was a distant second, but the match happened in the exact reverse. Ada was over 40% early, settled at 38.5% later and stayed there the entire day. So Balthier being this bad was no fluke of nature or anything; he's legitimately this bad and has been all along, which we've seen several times over since.

I won't give my personal opinion of FF12 here, but GameFAQs clearly doesn't care about that game at all. Ada Wong isn't some hidden beast; everyone else in this poll was just awful, as evidenced by the poll giving us one of the lowest voting outputs of the entire contest if not the lowest outright.

Stats and Analysis[]

there were two hyped newcomers for 2007: Midna and Balthier, characters from the two most popular games of the past year, TP and FF12. Midna had already bombed, but that made sense - a sidekick type character in a game known for its silent protagonist. but Balthier, the Han Solo of FF12, was wildly popular amongst the game's fans. no way does he bomb.

but he did.

Ada Wong got some more exposure with RE4Wii, but it shouldn't have mattered - Balthier had this fourpack and choked it away. it was one of the weakest fourpacks of the contest. Jade is a candidate for weakest character ever and Frank West COVERED WARS. Ada was the only thing resembling competition and Samus stomped her last year.

my after-the-fact explanation for this match was that people had no idea who the other guys were and just voted Ada. FF12 is not the most popular FF game, after all, and I think the site has moved a good bit away from recent Square, at least compared to how it used to be. the result is an embarrassing loss for Balthier, and a pretty easy victory for Ada that was never in doubt after the beginning.

Match Trends[]

Graph2884

External Links[]

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2007 Contest Matches

Round One
Yoshi > Knuckles
Mega Man > KOS-MOS
Samus > Frog
Scorpion > Midna
Marcus > Kefka
Cloud > Ocelot
Auron > Shadow
Ryu > Bowser
Sephiroth > Meta Knight
Fox > Wario
Mario > Big Boss
Magus > Phoenix Wright
Link > Bidoof
Vincent > Zelda
Crono > Raiden

Zero > HK-47
Luigi > Mudkip
Ganondorf > Vergil
Master Chief > Yuna
Liquid Snake > Alucard
Dante > Amaterasu
Ada Wong > Balthier
Pikachu > Tidus
Leon > Vivi
Kirby > L-Block
Kratos > Donkey Kong
Snake > Nightmare
Ryu H > Riku
Squall > Aeris
Sora > Lara
Duke > Gordon
Sonic > Sub-Zero

Round Two
Mega Man > Yoshi
Samus > Scorpion
Cloud > Marcus
Auron > Ryu
Sephiroth > Fox
Mario > Big Boss
Link > Vincent
Crono > Zero
Ganondorf > Luigi
Master Chief > Yuna
Dante > Amaterasu
Leon > Pikachu
Kratos > L-Block
Snake > Riku
Squall > Sora
Sonic > Sub-Zero

R3 and following
Samus > Mega Man
Cloud > Ryu
Sephiroth > Mario
Link > Vincent
Master Chief > Luigi
Pikachu > Dante
Snake > L-Block
Sonic > Squall
Cloud > Samus
Link > Sephiroth
Master Chief > Dante
L-Block > Snake
Link > Cloud
L-Block > Snake
L-Block > Link (Finals)
? Block > L-Block (Bonus)

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