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Cb6-21

Results[]

Round One

Poll2883

Sunday, September 23rd, 2007

Ulti's Analysis[]

Poll 2883
Division 6
Match # 21
Match Date Sunday, September 23rd, 2007
Oracle
Expectations
Dante - 50.51%
Amaterasu - 17.94%
Little Mac - 17.34%
Matt (Wii Sports) - 14.22%
GameFAQs
Expectations
Dante first place (2pts) - 78.54%
Dante second place (1pt) - 14.41%
Amaterasu second place (2pts) - 27.74%
Amaterasu first place (1pt) - 11.39%
Advancing
Prediction
Dante - 92.95% (34,135)
Amaterasu - 39.13% (14,370)

I know we all realize Amaterasu is strong now, but back before her first match she was quite the debated issue. Dante was clearly going to get first place here, but past him this was considered very up in the air. People did not have faith in Amaterasu doing well, and there was a lot of NintendoFEAR at work. Little Mac is a beloved character on Board 8, and Matt had a gigantic joke factor working in his favor. All three characters had a decent case for second place, but the big argument was between Amaterasu and Little Mac.

When the poll began, Matt was actually winning. But unlike past joke characters like Bidoof and Mudkip, he was unable to keep the pace beyond a few seconds and quickly fell back into last place. Dante of course was able to take first and keep it for the entire match.

I'd like to say Ammy vs Little Mac was interesting, but it wasn't. It was close for 5 minutes, then Amaterasu stormed ahead. People blamed Boxing SFF (lol) and even held out hope Little Mac would catch a Nintendo morning vote, but it was not to be. Amaterasu won fairly easily, which a lot of people didn't expect because even bottom of the barrel Nintendo is still Nintendo. Some people even came out and said Little Mac would have won if Matt were replaced, which is certainly possible but I doubt it. Just look at how legit Ammy is these days, and that's without taking her pending MvC3 boost into effect.

Stats and Analysis[]

this match seemed really easy to me - Matt was a complete non-factor due to most people not getting the joke, and Amaterasu was a nice little niche game but would be fairly unknown to the average fan, even from people who played Okami, due to her name. Little Mac was the easy pick here.

well, I was right about Matt, but not Amaterasu, as she took a solid early lead and only built on it throughout the day. there was talk about the lesser-known Amaterasu crumbling once the board vote ended, but it never did; Little Mac was actually the one to crumble after the first couple of hours. the kiddies just don't know their oldschool anymore!

Match Trends[]

Graph2883

External Links[]

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2007 Contest Matches

Round One
Yoshi > Knuckles
Mega Man > KOS-MOS
Samus > Frog
Scorpion > Midna
Marcus > Kefka
Cloud > Ocelot
Auron > Shadow
Ryu > Bowser
Sephiroth > Meta Knight
Fox > Wario
Mario > Big Boss
Magus > Phoenix Wright
Link > Bidoof
Vincent > Zelda
Crono > Raiden

Zero > HK-47
Luigi > Mudkip
Ganondorf > Vergil
Master Chief > Yuna
Liquid Snake > Alucard
Dante > Amaterasu
Ada Wong > Balthier
Pikachu > Tidus
Leon > Vivi
Kirby > L-Block
Kratos > Donkey Kong
Snake > Nightmare
Ryu H > Riku
Squall > Aeris
Sora > Lara
Duke > Gordon
Sonic > Sub-Zero

Round Two
Mega Man > Yoshi
Samus > Scorpion
Cloud > Marcus
Auron > Ryu
Sephiroth > Fox
Mario > Big Boss
Link > Vincent
Crono > Zero
Ganondorf > Luigi
Master Chief > Yuna
Dante > Amaterasu
Leon > Pikachu
Kratos > L-Block
Snake > Riku
Squall > Sora
Sonic > Sub-Zero

R3 and following
Samus > Mega Man
Cloud > Ryu
Sephiroth > Mario
Link > Vincent
Master Chief > Luigi
Pikachu > Dante
Snake > L-Block
Sonic > Squall
Cloud > Samus
Link > Sephiroth
Master Chief > Dante
L-Block > Snake
Link > Cloud
L-Block > Snake
L-Block > Link (Finals)
? Block > L-Block (Bonus)

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