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Cb6-50

Results[]

Round Three

Poll2912

Monday, October 22nd, 2007

Ulti's Analysis[]

Poll 2912
Round Division 2 Final
Match # 50
Match Date Monday, October 22nd, 2007
Oracle
Expectations
Cloud - 43.68%
Ryu - 21.74%
Auron - 21.00%
Marcus Fenix - 13.66%
GameFAQs
Expectations
Cloud first place (8pts) - 76.84%
Cloud second place (4pts) - 7.11%
Ryu second place (8pts) - 15.96%
Ryu first place (4pts) - 1.43%
Advancing
Prediction
Cloud - 83.95% (30,830)
Ryu - 17.39% (6,386)

Had Bowser not gotten punked by Ryu twice, he would be in Ryu's spot here and be the main beneficiary of Cloud SFFing Auron. Bowser and Auron both went against Cloud in 2003, and Bowser did better against him. But Ryu beat Bowser this year (twice), so he basically advanced past the divisional final by default. He actually won the board vote and led outright for a few seconds, and it only took him 15 minutes to shake off Auron for good. This was a predictable match by the time it rolled around, because whoever won between Bowser and Ryu was guaranteed to advance here. Most of us just screwed up and picked the wrong character among those two.

Notable here is Cloud getting close to 50% in a fourway poll in round 3. That's Link Lite stuff right there, and obviously the format wasn't going to screw over the elites all too much.

Stats and Analysis[]

Bowser was supposed to be here, but Ryu had ruined that party twice already. Auron won round 2's much-hyped matchup with relative ease, though, making people question if Cloud being in the match with him would even alter the result. after all..

Cloud Strife 70.03% 77991
Bowser 29.97% 33381
TOTAL VOTES 111372

Cloud Strife 72.2% 81716
Auron 27.8% 31470
TOTAL VOTES 113186

Auron didn't lose by that much more than Bowser, despite it being a clear inter-company matchup. Auron did do pretty damn well last round, making some question if he, not Vincent, were the strongest Final Fantasy character not named Cloud or Sephiroth. Oracle predictions for this match were pretty damn even, suggesting a tight match.

but nope, Cloud showed his power once again, and the Cloud > Link hype train grew and grew. three straight matches, three impressive results. Cloud had yet to disappoint, and he was not letting anyone come even close to him.

Marcus got crushed here, but he was in the presence of real strength. pretty good contest for him.

Match Trends[]

Graph2912

External Links[]

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2007 Contest Matches

Round One
Yoshi > Knuckles
Mega Man > KOS-MOS
Samus > Frog
Scorpion > Midna
Marcus > Kefka
Cloud > Ocelot
Auron > Shadow
Ryu > Bowser
Sephiroth > Meta Knight
Fox > Wario
Mario > Big Boss
Magus > Phoenix Wright
Link > Bidoof
Vincent > Zelda
Crono > Raiden

Zero > HK-47
Luigi > Mudkip
Ganondorf > Vergil
Master Chief > Yuna
Liquid Snake > Alucard
Dante > Amaterasu
Ada Wong > Balthier
Pikachu > Tidus
Leon > Vivi
Kirby > L-Block
Kratos > Donkey Kong
Snake > Nightmare
Ryu H > Riku
Squall > Aeris
Sora > Lara
Duke > Gordon
Sonic > Sub-Zero

Round Two
Mega Man > Yoshi
Samus > Scorpion
Cloud > Marcus
Auron > Ryu
Sephiroth > Fox
Mario > Big Boss
Link > Vincent
Crono > Zero
Ganondorf > Luigi
Master Chief > Yuna
Dante > Amaterasu
Leon > Pikachu
Kratos > L-Block
Snake > Riku
Squall > Sora
Sonic > Sub-Zero

R3 and following
Samus > Mega Man
Cloud > Ryu
Sephiroth > Mario
Link > Vincent
Master Chief > Luigi
Pikachu > Dante
Snake > L-Block
Sonic > Squall
Cloud > Samus
Link > Sephiroth
Master Chief > Dante
L-Block > Snake
Link > Cloud
L-Block > Snake
L-Block > Link (Finals)
? Block > L-Block (Bonus)

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