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Cb6-33

Results[]

Round Two

Poll2895

Friday, October 5th, 2007

Ulti's Analysis[]

Poll 2895
Round Division 1 Semi Final
Match # 33
Match Date Friday, October 5th, 2007
Oracle
Expectations
Mega Man - 37.10%
Yoshi - 26.15%
Knuckles - 22.42%
KOS-MOS - 14.33%
GameFAQs
Expectations
Mega Man first place (4pts) - 25.80%
Mega Man second place (2pts) - 53.00%
Yoshi second place (4pts) - 18.04%
Yoshi first place (2pts) - 38.47%
Advancing
Prediction
Mega Man - 78.80% (28,939)
Yoshi - 56.51% (20,753)

So hey, remember this match?

One would think Mega Man would annihilate Yoshi yet again en route to Knuckles perhaps sneaking into second place, but then all the Sonic characters went out and sucked in round 1. Knuckles almost lost to Rikku with Vaan sharing the poll, and then the board vote for this match hit and Yoshi won it outright. Game over right from the start for Knuckles, who for whatever reason has been unable to get out of the second round in a single contest. Knuckles was even struggling with KOS-MOS for a little while before finally putting her away for an easy third place finish, but that was still a disappointment for him.

The final percentages here ultimately came close to 40/30/20/10, which shows you how good (See also: Boring) this match was. Pre-contest hype does not always translate to a good match.

Round 2 of a contest is often about the elites or near-elites smacking away characters of lower strength en route to deep contest runs, or characters that pulled off cute little round 1 upsets, and this was really no exception. By the end of the match, the only thing we had to discuss was the new match picture format for this round: Face shots.

Stats and Analysis[]

this was a hotly debated match pre-contest. in 2005, Mega Man crushed Yoshi, and it was assumed that he would do the same. most agreed that Yoshi was stronger than Knuckles, but it wasn't by all that much - Mega Man being in the poll would surely hurt Yoshi, it was just a matter of if it would matter.

but then round 1 happened, and all argument ceased as Knuckles got blown out by Yoshi and nearly lost to Rikku despite Vaan being in the poll. to make it worse, other Sonic characters started doing poorly as well. by the time this match came around, the only shock was that Knuckles was doing somehow even worse than expected - he couldn't even separate from KOS-MOS for a while, and by the time his great day vote was over he still lost to Yoshi by 10000 votes. this was a match that would have been interesting had we not already seen the writing on the wall that Knuckles was going to bomb.

Match Trends[]

Graph2895

External Links[]

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2007 Contest Matches

Round One
Yoshi > Knuckles
Mega Man > KOS-MOS
Samus > Frog
Scorpion > Midna
Marcus > Kefka
Cloud > Ocelot
Auron > Shadow
Ryu > Bowser
Sephiroth > Meta Knight
Fox > Wario
Mario > Big Boss
Magus > Phoenix Wright
Link > Bidoof
Vincent > Zelda
Crono > Raiden

Zero > HK-47
Luigi > Mudkip
Ganondorf > Vergil
Master Chief > Yuna
Liquid Snake > Alucard
Dante > Amaterasu
Ada Wong > Balthier
Pikachu > Tidus
Leon > Vivi
Kirby > L-Block
Kratos > Donkey Kong
Snake > Nightmare
Ryu H > Riku
Squall > Aeris
Sora > Lara
Duke > Gordon
Sonic > Sub-Zero

Round Two
Mega Man > Yoshi
Samus > Scorpion
Cloud > Marcus
Auron > Ryu
Sephiroth > Fox
Mario > Big Boss
Link > Vincent
Crono > Zero
Ganondorf > Luigi
Master Chief > Yuna
Dante > Amaterasu
Leon > Pikachu
Kratos > L-Block
Snake > Riku
Squall > Sora
Sonic > Sub-Zero

R3 and following
Samus > Mega Man
Cloud > Ryu
Sephiroth > Mario
Link > Vincent
Master Chief > Luigi
Pikachu > Dante
Snake > L-Block
Sonic > Squall
Cloud > Samus
Link > Sephiroth
Master Chief > Dante
L-Block > Snake
Link > Cloud
L-Block > Snake
L-Block > Link (Finals)
? Block > L-Block (Bonus)

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